Saturday, September 27, 2014

Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Colorado State brings their high-powered offensive attack into Alumni Stadium to face a BC team that is surging after a surprising week two home loss to Pittsburgh. The Eagles have rattled off an upset of then #9 USC and a 30 point win over Maine in back to back weeks and put their 5th ranked rushing offense to the test against the Rams' 11th rated passing attack.

Colorado State (2-1) QB Garrett Grayson has commanded the Rams' offense as a senior, tossing for 993 yards and 8TD against just 2 INT. The QB will throw some incompletions (58.9%) but that could be due to his penchant for the long ball, having completed pass of 55+ yards in 2 of 3 games. Grayson's 8.9 yards per attempt is 26th in the nation. CSU will be facing their toughest test of the season, traveling across the country for an early 12:30 ET start and having to go up against the nation's leading rusher for QB's in Tyler Murphy, who ranks 10th overall with 500 yards on the ground. Containing Murphy could prove quite the task for a Rams defense allowing 212 yards rushing per game.

Murphy has been an impressive dual-threat for B.C, running for 191 yards to lead the upset over U.S.C. There's little doubt the senior QB is a run-first signal caller as his passing numbers are just 43/83 (51.8%) for 491 yards with 3 TD to 5 INT. Still, combined with John Hilliman (241 yards), Myles Willis (208 yards) and a talented group of other frequent ball carriers the Eagles have put up 336 rushing yards per game. The BC defense has been a huge benefactor, allowing less than 20 PPG and ranked 11th in the nation.

Despite all the obvious statistical advantages, Boston College is less than a TD favorite against the Rams. The Eagle passing defense only gives up 174 YPG which could put Colorado State behind the 8-ball, especially while trying to stop Murphy and the BC ground attack. This game should be BC's to take, but apparently in a much closer battle than expected.

Colorado State Rams Betting Trends

Colorado State Rams are 2-1-0 Against the Spread

Colorado State Rams are 2-1-0 against the Over/Under

Boston College Eagles Betting Trends

Boston College Eagles are 3-1-0 Against the Spread

Boston College Eagles are 1-1-0 against the Over/Under

Injuries to Watch

Colorado State Rams

09/22/14 DB Jake Schlager Ankle is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Boston College
09/22/14 LB Kevin Davis Shoulder is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Boston College
09/22/14 TE Kivon Cartwright Ankle is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Boston College
09/22/14 OL Ty Sambrailo Knee is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Boston College
09/21/14 DB Nick Januska Legal problems "?" Saturday vs. Boston College
08/21/14 OL Jordan Finley Knee out indefinitely
08/21/14 OL Mason Hathaway Knee out for season

Boston College Eagles

09/21/14 DL Mehdi Abdesmad Knee "?" Saturday vs. Colorado State
09/21/14 LB Sean Duggan Leg "?" Saturday vs. Colorado State
09/02/14 OG Harris Williams Ankle expected to miss 6-8 weeks
08/26/14 WR Bobby Swigert Knee out indefinitely
08/26/14 WR Harrison Jackson Chest out indefinitely
08/26/14 LB Tim Joy Knee out for season

Guy's Pick: Take Boston College

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