Saturday, September 27, 2014

Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs

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After a season opening upset bid of Ole Miss fell short, Boise State (3-1) has rattled off three straight wins with a good chance to make it four in a row in Falcon Stadium Saturday night. Air Force (2-1) will do their best to make sure that doesn't happen, even as 2 TD home underdogs.

Boise State has achieved offensive balance behind the arm of Grant Hedrick and the legs of Jay Ajayi. Hedrick is 18th in the nation with 1,086 passing yards while Ajayi is the #11 rusher with 494 yards. Since throwing 4 interceptions in the opener against Ole Miss, Hedrick has calmed down with just one INT since and Ajayi is coming off a 3 TD performance against Louisiana-Lafayette. The air attack will likely be key against Air Force as the Falcons allow 298.7 passing YPG while allowing 5TD and have just 1 interception.

When teams play Air Force, they better be adept at stopping the run and the 2014 version of the Falcons is no different. AF has their own stud running back in Jacobi Owens, a sophomore whose 431 yards is 18th best in the country. Collectively the Falcons have the 6th best rushing attack in the nation with 335.0 YPG on the ground. The Boise State will have to earn their stripes if they want to maintain the country's second best rushing defense giving up just 49.5 YPG.

The Broncos tallied a 42-24 win a season ago in which they outgained the Falcons 533-287. Boise State even had more rushing yards than Air Force holding a 229-188 advantage. The big difference came through the air where the Broncos had 304 passing yards to only 99 for Air Force and expect this year's numbers to be mighty similar.

Boise State Broncos Betting Trends

Boise State Broncos are 3-1-0 Against the Spread

Boise State Broncos are 2-2-0 against the Over/Under

Air Force Falcons Betting Trends

Air Force Falcons are 1-2-0 Against the Spread

Air Force Falcons are 1-2-0 against the Over/Under

Injuries to Watch

Boise State Broncos

09/21/14 CB Bryan Douglas Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/21/14 CB Cleshawn Page Knee "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/21/14 OT Rees Odhiambo Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Air Force
09/16/14 CB Kevin Person Academics left the team
09/14/14 TE Connor Peters Academics out indefinitely
09/09/14 CB Mercy Maston Shin expected to miss 5 weeks
09/05/14 DT Tyler Horn Knee out for season
08/28/14 DL Justin Taimatuia Undisclosed out for season
08/28/14 DB Taylor Loffler Undisclosed out for season

Air Force Falcons

09/21/14 DB Jamal Byrd Undisclosed "?" Saturday vs. Boise State
09/21/14 LB Joey Nichol Groin "?" Saturday vs. Boise State
09/17/14 OT Sevrin Remmo Foot expected to miss 6 weeks
09/11/14 RB Shayne Davern Knee expected to miss 6 weeks
08/30/14 DL Alexander Hansen Shoulder expected to miss 2-3 weeks

Guy's Pick: Take Boise State

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