Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks Expert CFL Picks Against the Spread 11/1/2019

Friday, November 1, 2019

TD Place Stadium

Dominique Davis and the Ottawa Redblacks (3-14, 4th in the Eastern Conference) host the Montreal Alouettes (9-8, 2nd in the Eastern Conference) at TD Place Stadium on Friday, November 1, 2019. Montreal opens this matchup as 9.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 52.

The Alouettes have been a pretty good pick for wagerers, having gone 9-8 ATS. Ottawa is covering the spread 29.4% of the time, going 5-12 against the spread. The Alouettes have been a terrible play for football wagerers as a favorite, going 0-4 ATS. Ottawa is covering the spread 38.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 5-8 against the spread.

Valuable Montreal Alouettes Betting Trends

The Alouettes have been a decent Over bet for O/U football bettors, having gone 9-8.

The Alouettes cover the spread 62.5% of the time on the road, having gone 5-3 ATS.

Important Ottawa Redblacks Betting Trends

The Redblacks cover the spread 33.3% of the time at TD Place Stadium, going 3-6 against the spread.

The Redblacks have been a pretty good Under bet for O/U football bettors, having gone 7-10.

The Montreal Alouettes head into this matchup 9-8 for this year. They are ranked 2nd in the Eastern Conference. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league with an average of 25.7 points per game, putting them 5th in the league. As a unit, they are averaging 125 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the conference, and they sit in 3rd in the conference for passing yards per game with 245.3. For total yardage, they sit in 2nd in the conference and 5th in the league with 6,295 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Alouettes currently have a total of 26 passing TDs and 20 rushing TDs. They are a team that has the capability to score points in the Eastern Conference and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup.

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The Alouettes have one of the most lackluster defenses in the league giving up 26.6 points per game, putting them 2nd in the East and 7th in the CFL. In terms of yards on the ground, Montreal is allowing 107.2 yards per game ranking them 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 6th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.52 yards per carry putting them 4th in the conference and 8th in the CFL overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,823 rushing yards through 17 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Alouettes have conceded 5,201 yards over the period of 17 games. This equates to an average of 305.9 yards per game, which has them at 8th in the league and 3rd in the conference. Opponents are completing 73.4% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.99 yards per try. They have allowed 25 passing TDs and 17 rushing TDs.

The Redblacks head into this matchup 3-14 and they sit in 4th in the Eastern Conference. In discussing the offensive production, the Redblacks have one of the most lackluster offenses in the league. When looking at their ability to score points, the Redblacks are currently ranked 4th in the East and 9th out of the nine teams in the CFL averaging 16.5 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Redblacks have passed the ball for a total of 3,682 passing yards which breaks down to 216.6 passing yards per game ranking them 8th in the CFL. Ottawa needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 75.6 yards per game, ranking them 7th in the CFL. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,285 rushing yards through 17 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Ottawa Redblacks average 292.2 yards per game overall putting them 9th in the CFL and 4th in the conference.

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The Ottawa Redblacks are allowing 30.7 points per contest which puts them at 3rd in the East and 8th in the CFL. In regard to points given up, they have allowed 522 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 116.3 yards per contest ranking them 8th in the league and 3rd in the East. For this season, they have given up 1,977 rushing yards and 26 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the most anemic groups in the league. They are allowing 309.7 passing yards per game and 5,265 total yards through the air. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Redblacks are currently ranked 4th in the East. They have conceded 28 passing touchdowns this season.

Who will win tonight's Alouettes/Redblacks CFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Alouettes -9.5

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