Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 3/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+220) Toronto (-275)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (74-88 last season) will meet the Washington Nationals (71-91 last year) on Monday. The line on this matchup has Washington at +220 while Toronto is priced at -275. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Trevor Williams and Bowden Francis.

The Nationals earned 267 doubles as a team and knocked 135 baseballs out of the stadium. Washington had a slugging percentage of .375 and were called out on strikes 1,220 times, while taking a walk on 456 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals scored 4.1 runs/g, which ranked them 25th in the league. They compiled 621 RBI's in addition to 1,306 hits over the course of the prior season, while their team batting average was .243. They racked up 660 runs and held an on-base percentage of .309.

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The Nationals compiled a team ERA of 4.30 over the course of last year (23rd in the league), and their staff rung up 1,314 batters. Nationals pitchers allowed 168 home runs and 764 runs in total (25th in the league). They walked 473 opposing players and their FIP finished at 3.94 as a squad in the prior season. Washington yielded 1,429 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 685 earned runs. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.33.

Nationals relief pitchers came into the game with players on base 156 times as well as having 136 contests in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers had 81 holds in the previous season (20th in baseball). The Nationals relievers compiled a save rate of 63.5% and came into the game in 144 save situations. They recorded 40 saves for the prior year and blew 23 of their 63 save opportunities. The relief pitchers inherited 222 runners over the course of last year with 35.6% of those runners crossed home plate. The Nationals had dispatched 568 relief pitchers to the mound last season.

The Washington Nationals earned 4,302 putouts over the course of the prior season, as well as 1,438 assists and 109 errors. Their fielding rate was previously at .981 which had them sitting 28th in MLB, and accumulated 155 double plays. The Nationals converted 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,906 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 29th in pro baseball.

Williams has taken the hill for 926 innings and is sitting with 760 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.31 (443 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.362. He has conceded 959 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 302 walks. Williams (50-55 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.24 while facing 3,988 hitters in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays held a team SLG% of .389 and they scored 4.14 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They put up 280 doubles, while getting a free base 510 times as well as notching 671 runs. Toronto had a total of 156 home runs over the course of last year in addition to 640 runs batted in. They were rung up on 1,233 instances (25th in baseball) and totaled 1,306 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays recorded an OBP of .313 as well as a team batting average of .241 for the prior year.

The Toronto pitching staff given up 743 runs last season while having a team ERA of 4.29 (681 earned runs relinquished). They gave up 208 homers and they relinquished 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays had a team WHIP of 1.275 with a FIP of 4.43 as a team for the previous season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.30 (1,314 strikeouts vs 503 bases on balls). They ranked 16th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,316.

Toronto relievers had an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 245 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers took the field 128 times in high leverage situations and also on 159 occasions with runners on base. Finishing with 147 save situations, the Blue Jays compiled 85 holds and 23 blown saves. They were ranked 21st in baseball holding a save percentage of 61.0%, and they dispatched 549 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season. Toronto called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 59 save opportunities and they recorded 36 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays had 125 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Blue Jays accrued 1,355 assists, 92 errors and had 4,282 putouts during the previous year. In their 12,846 innings played, the Blue Jays finished with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (7th in the majors).

Francis (9-5 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 2.89 earned run average while allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.27 and he has faced 547 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 45 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.906 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Francis has allowed 97 base hits while he has tallied 128 punch outs in 140 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+220)

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