Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+220) Miami (-275)

The Washington Nationals (5-7) are headed to loanDepot park on Saturday where they will play the Miami Marlins (6-6). The line on this contest has the Nationals at +220 while the Marlins open at -275. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Trevor Williams and Sandy Alcantara.

The Nationals have earned 20 doubles as a unit and have hit 16 baseballs out of the park. Washington has a slugging rate of .418 and have struck out 112 times, while drawing a walk on 36 occasions. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.4 runs/g, which ranks them 12th in MLB. They have recorded 51 runs batted in and 90 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is .235. They are sitting with 53 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.10 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.51. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 15 home runs in addition to 58 runs in total (19th in the league). Washington has given up 112 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 54 earned runs. The Nationals have an ERA of 4.58 this year (26th in the league), and they have rung up 101 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 48 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.43 as a squad on the campaign.

The Nationals have dispatched 44 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 27 base runners for the year with 29.6% of those players earned a run for their team. They have compiled 4 saves for the season and have blown 2 of 6 chances to save the game. The Nationals relievers have a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 13 save situations. The bullpen have earned 7 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 16 times as well as having 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have converted 66.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 954 innings, which ranks them 27th in professional baseball. The Washington Nationals have earned 318 putouts on the campaign, as well as 112 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 13th in pro baseball, and they have turned 9 double plays.

Williams has thrown 936 innings and has accounted for 769 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.32 (449 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.365. He has surrendered 974 base knocks (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 304 free passes. Williams (51-55 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.25 and he has faced 4,033 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .348 and they are earning 3.58 runs per contest (20th in MLB). They have hit 16 two-baggers, while getting a free base 40 times as well as scoring 43 runs. Miami has recorded 9 home runs so far this season as well as 40 runs batted in. They have struck out on 120 occasions (5th in the league) and have a total of 97 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .238 on the campaign.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.318 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.27 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.30 (89 strikeouts vs 48 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 97. They have surrendered 12 HR's and they yield 4.42 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 54 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.68 (45 earned runs surrendered).

Miami has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 2 save opportunities and they have come away with 1 save. They are ranked 21st in the league holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 42 relievers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 15 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 18 inherited base runners. With 9 save situations, the Marlins have 7 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

The Miami Marlins have turned 9 double plays and have a fielding rate of .980 (25th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 120 assists, 9 errors and have accounted for 330 putouts on the season. Out of their 990 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (15th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Alcantara has conceded 774 base hits while he has totaled 800 strikeouts in 909 innings pitched. He has allowed 336 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and he has faced 3,718 opposing hitters during his career. Alcantara (42-55 career record) has earned a 3.33 ERA and has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-275)

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