Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, April 25, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+220) New York (-275)

The Toronto Blue Jays (12-13) are traveling to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will take on the New York Yankees (15-10). The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at +220 while the Yankees are opening at -275. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jose Berrios and Carlos Carrasco.

As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 3.5 runs per contest, which is 26th in the league. They have racked up 88 runs scored and hold an OBP of .314. The Blue Jays have tallied 45 doubles as a squad and have hit 13 balls out of the stadium. They have 83 runs batted in in addition to 201 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average sits at .242. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .345 and have struck out 181 times, while drawing a walk on 80 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 33 long balls and 104 total runs (13th in MLB). Toronto has relinquished 190 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 95 earned runs. The Blue Jays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.79 on the year (10th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 236 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 73 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.99 as a unit for the year.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 28 times and also have had 20 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 17 holds on the year (13th in the league). The Blue Jays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 63.6% and have entered the game in 28 save situations. They have recorded 7 saves on the campaign and have blown 4 out of their 11 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 34 base runners over the course of the season with 20.6% of them ended up scoring. The Blue Jays have dispatched 86 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Blue Jays have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,028 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 9th in professional baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 676 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 196 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 16th in the majors, and they have turned 19 double plays.

Berrios has taken the hill for 1,433 innings and is sitting with 1,367 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Berrios (100-78 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.03 while he has faced 6,030 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.09 (652 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.236. He has given up 1,342 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 430 free passes.

The Yankees hold a slugging % of .462 and they have an average of 5.48 runs per outing (2nd in MLB). They have hit 40 doubles, while getting a free base 100 times as well as notching 137 runs. New York is sitting with 41 home runs for the season as well as 132 RBIs. They have been rung up on 241 occasions (3rd in the league) and have accounted for 216 base knocks. The New York Yankees have tallied an on-base percentage of .344 and a team batting average of .258 over the course of the season.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.201 in addition to having a FIP of 3.81 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (232 strikeouts vs 103 free passes). They are sitting at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 160. They have allowed 24 home runs and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The New York pitching staff have given up 106 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.86 (94 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 28 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 17 holds and 2 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 11 save chances and they have earned 9 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations and on 29 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 14.6% out of their 41 inherited runners. They rank 2nd in the league with a save rate of 81.8%, and they have dispatched 79 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign.

The New York Yankees have turned 14 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Yankees have accrued 201 assists, 13 errors and have notched a total of 657 putouts during this campaign. In 1,971 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 73.7% (3rd in MLB).

During his career, Carrasco has allowed 1,635 base knocks while tallying 1,677 K's in 1,661 innings pitched. Carrasco (112-104 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.18 ERA and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 771 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.66 and he has faced 6,951 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (+220)

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