Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-275) New York (+220)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (3-3) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays at -275 and the Mets are sitting at +220. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Chris Bassitt and Griffin Canning.

The Blue Jays have tallied 17 doubles as a unit and have knocked 5 baseballs out of the park. Toronto has a slugging rate of .429 and have struck out 48 times, while being walked on 22 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. They have compiled 29 runs batted in in addition to 65 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .288. They have earned a total of 32 runs while holding a team OBP of .355.

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The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.43 this season (20th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 65 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 13 long balls and 31 total runs (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 21 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.59 as a unit on the campaign. Toronto has surrendered 54 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 31 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.10 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 5 times and also have had 3 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 8 holds so far this year (4th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 13 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves on the season and have blown 1 out of their 5 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 base runners for the year with 37.5% of them crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 27 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have notched a total of 189 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 59 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage is currently at .996 which puts them in 3rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 4 double plays. The Blue Jays have transformed 73.9% of balls in play into outs out of 567 innings, which has them sitting 9th in MLB.

Bassitt (73-56 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.52 and he has gone up against 4,701 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,018 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 359 free passes. His earned run average is 3.58 (443 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.236. Bassitt has taken the hill for 1,114 innings and is sitting with 1,032 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

New York has accumulated 7 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 22 RBIs. They have notched 11 doubles, while walking 20 times as well as scoring 23 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .275 and a batting average of .188 this season. The Mets have a team slugging % of .350 and they are scoring 3.83 runs per outing (19th in baseball). They have been rung up on 46 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have 37 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.170 and have a FIP of 3.09 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (55 strikeouts vs 22 walks). They have a ranking of 10th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 40. They have given up 4 homers and they allow 3.23 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 19 runs on the season while having an ERA of 2.38 (14 earned runs relinquished).

New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 2 save chances and they have tallied 2 saves. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 18 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 8 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 8.3% of 12 inherited base runners. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Mets have recorded 4 holds and 0 blown saves.

Out of their 477 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (16th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 5 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in baseball). The Mets have recorded 64 assists, 4 errors and have amassed 159 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Canning has surrendered 498 hits while tallying 487 strikeouts in 513 innings pitched. He has conceded 272 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.331 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63 and he has faced 2,195 hitters during his pro baseball career. Canning (25-35 career mark) has earned a 4.77 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+220)

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