Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, April 4, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) New York (+150)

The Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) are headed to Citi Field on Friday where they will try to defeat the New York Mets (3-3). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -182 while the Mets are priced at +150. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Tylor Megill.

The Blue Jays have earned 17 doubles as a team and have knocked 5 balls out of the park. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .429 and have struck out 48 times, while taking a walk on 22 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in MLB. They have compiled 29 RBI's as well as 65 base knocks this season, and their batting average is sitting at .288. They have accumulated 32 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .355.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 13 home runs in addition to 31 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Toronto has surrendered 54 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 31 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 4.43 for the season (20th in MLB), and they have struck out 65 batters. They have walked 21 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.59 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Blue Jays have sent 27 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 runners this year and 37.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 4 saves so far this year and have missed out on 1 of 5 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relievers have recorded a save rate of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 13 save situations. The relievers have racked up 8 holds so far this season (4th in MLB). Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 5 times in addition to having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 189 putouts thus far, as well as 59 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage is at .996 which has them sitting 3rd in the majors, and have accumulated 4 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 73.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 567 innings on the diamond, ranking them 9th in baseball.

Gausman (103-102 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.78 and he has faced 7,233 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,683 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 486 walks. His ERA is 3.84 (735 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.258. Gausman has thrown 1,724 innings and has accumulated 1,769 punch outs during his MLB career.

The New York Mets have accounted for a team OBP of .275 and a batting average of .188 for the season. They have struck out on 46 instances (22nd in baseball) and have 37 hits. New York has recorded 7 home runs this year to go along with 22 runs batted in. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .350 and they earn 3.83 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have recorded 11 doubles, while walking 20 times as well as earning 23 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 19 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 2.38 (14 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 4 dingers and they allow 3.23 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.170 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.09 as a pitching staff for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (55 strikeouts vs 22 walks). They sit at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 40.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 8.3% out of 12 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 9 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with runners on. With 6 save situations, the Mets have accrued 4 holds in addition to 0 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 18 relievers to the hill this season. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 2 save opportunities and they have tallied 2 saves.

In 477 innings on the field, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (16th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 5 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in MLB). The Mets have racked up 64 assists, 4 errors and have notched a total of 159 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Megill has given up 348 base knocks while totaling 352 K's in 346 innings pitched. He has surrendered 174 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.384 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and he has faced 1,502 batters in his career. Megill (22-21 career mark) has a 4.52 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+150)

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