Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+172) Boston (-210)

The Toronto Blue Jays (6-5) are en route to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (6-5). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at +172 and the Red Sox are opening at -210. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Tanner Houck.

Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .372 and have struck out 82 times, while taking a walk on 39 occasions. They have accrued 38 runs batted in and 96 hits so far this season, and their team batting average sits at .267. The Blue Jays have recorded 21 doubles as a squad and have smacked 5 balls out of the park. They have racked up 41 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .345. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 3.7 runs per game, which has them at 20th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 14 home runs and 43 total runs (15th in baseball). Toronto has allowed 78 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 42 earned runs. The Blue Jays have a team earned run average of 3.91 this year (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 90 batters. They have walked 35 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.30 as a unit for the season.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 11 times and also have had 7 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 9 holds on the season (9th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 15 save situations. They have tallied 4 saves this season and have missed out on 2 out of their 6 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 17 runners on the year with 35.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 38 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Blue Jays have converted 74.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 870 innings on the diamond, ranking them 4th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 290 putouts this year, in addition to 90 assists and 2 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .995 which ranks 2nd in pro baseball, and have earned 7 double plays.

Gausman has thrown 1,729 innings and is sitting with 1,769 punch outs thus far in his career. Gausman (103-103 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.78 while he has faced 7,252 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.84 (738 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.257. He has conceded 1,685 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 488 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a team OBP of .352 as well as a batting average of .271 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 100 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have recorded 105 hits. Boston has 11 home runs this year as well as 62 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .429 and they average 5.91 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have tallied 26 doubles, while walking 49 times and putting up 65 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.406 and have a FIP of 3.76 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 105. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 51 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.41 (47 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.40 (79 strikeouts vs 30 bases on balls). They have conceded 9 dingers and they surrender 4.78 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have recorded 4 saves. They rank 6th in MLB with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have sent 33 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 5 times in high leverage situations in addition to 7 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 40.0% out of 10 inherited base runners. With 8 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 3 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 17 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .975 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 106 assists, 10 errors and have earned a total of 288 putouts on the season. In 864 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 64.4% (30th in professional baseball).

Houck (24-30 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.63 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and he has faced 1,844 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 177 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.206 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Houck has allowed 384 base hits while he has accumulated 425 punch outs in 439 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-210)

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