Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, April 7, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-144) Boston (+120)

The Boston Red Sox (3-4) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) at Fenway Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays at -144 while the Red Sox open at +120. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Jose Berrios and Garrett Crochet.

Toronto has a slugging % of .429 and have been called out on strikes 48 times, while being walked on 22 occasions. They have accumulated 29 runs batted in and 65 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .288. The Blue Jays have accumulated 17 two-baggers as a team and have hit 5 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 32 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .355. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are knocking in 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 13 home runs and also 31 runs (19th in MLB). Toronto has relinquished 54 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 31 earned runs. The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.43 so far this year (19th in the league), and their staff has struck out 65 hitters. They have walked 21 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.61 as a unit on the year.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 80.0% and has come into the game in 13 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 runners for the season and 37.5% of them crossed home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 5 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 27 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have tallied 8 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball). They have accumulated 4 saves on the year and have not converted 1 of 5 save opportunities.

The Blue Jays have turned 73.9% of balls in play into outs out of 567 innings on the diamond, ranking them 9th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a total of 189 putouts thus far, as well as 59 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage is at .996 which has them sitting 2nd in the majors, and have a total of 4 double plays.

Berrios has taken the mound for 1,415 innings and has totaled 1,356 K's so far in his MLB career. Berrios (99-78 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.03 and he has gone up against 5,955 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.09 (644 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.236. He has conceded 1,327 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 422 free passes.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .371 and they score 3.86 runs per outing (15th in MLB). They have hit 11 doubles, while taking a walk 25 times as well as racking up 27 runs. Boston has knocked in 7 long balls this season as well as 26 RBIs. They have been rung up on 75 instances (2nd in the league) and have earned 55 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have compiled a team OBP of .303 in addition to a team batting average of .229 on the year.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.186 in addition to having a FIP of 3.44 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.20 (47 strikeouts against 14 walks). They sit at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 56. They have surrendered 6 long balls and they surrender 3.81 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 25 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.81 (25 earned runs conceded).

Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 2 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves. They rank 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 19 relievers onto the field so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 2 times in high leverage situations and also on 4 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 57.1% out of their 7 inherited runners. With 3 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 1 hold and 0 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 11 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (12th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 63 assists, 3 errors and have a tally of 177 putouts so far this year. Out of their 531 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in MLB).

Crochet (10-19 career record) is the owner of a 3.18 ERA and has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.03 and he has faced 959 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 82 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.142 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. So far in his pro baseball career, Crochet has conceded 189 base knocks and he has 306 punch outs in 232 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-144)

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