Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-275) Boston (+220)

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-5) are headed to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (6-6). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -275 while the Red Sox are at +220. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Chris Bassitt and Walker Buehler.

As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are recording 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have racked up 47 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .346. The Blue Jays have recorded 21 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 6 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 43 runs batted in and 105 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is .264. Toronto is slugging .368 and have struck out 90 times, while taking a walk on 44 occasions.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 3.66 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 102 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 14 home runs in addition to 44 total runs (12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 36 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.00 as a team this season. Toronto has allowed 86 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 43 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.16.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 43 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 19 base runners this season with 31.6% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 4 saves on the season and have blown 2 of 6 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 16 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 10 holds this year (6th in MLB). Blue Jays pitchers have come into the game with players on base 13 times and also have had 7 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have amassed 317 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 96 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .993 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and they have turned 9 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 73.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 951 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 7th in the majors.

Bassitt has pitched in 1,120 frames and has racked up 1,041 strikeouts in his MLB career. Bassitt (73-56 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.51 while he has faced 4,725 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.56 (443 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.233. He has allowed 1,022 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 359 walks.

Boston has accumulated 11 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 63 runs batted in. They have hit 27 doubles, while getting a free base 50 times and putting up 66 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .345 in addition to a batting average of .268 this year. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .416 and they are earning 5.50 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have struck out on 112 occasions (3rd in the league) and have notched a total of 113 base hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.429 with a FIP of 3.85 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 115. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 57 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.37 (51 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.50 (87 strikeouts against 35 walks). They have conceded 10 homers and they concede 4.89 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 46.7% of 15 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 6 times in high leverage situations in addition to 9 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 8 save situations, the Red Sox have 3 holds in addition to 1 blown save. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have sent 35 relievers to the hill so far this year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have tallied 4 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 17 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .973 (29th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 117 assists, 12 errors and have 315 putouts on the season. Out of their 945 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 64.3% (30th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Buehler has surrendered 602 hits while he has earned 761 K's in 722 innings. Buehler (48-23 career mark) is the owner of a 3.34 earned run average while surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 268 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.098 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.98 and he has faced 2,945 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (+220) and under 9 runs

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