Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-182) Baltimore (+150)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (5-8) will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (8-5) on Friday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -182 while Baltimore is sitting at +150. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Bowden Francis and Tomoyuki Sugano.

The Blue Jays have accumulated 21 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 6 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .352 and have struck out 94 times, while drawing a walk on 46 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 3.8 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have amassed 45 RBI's and 111 hits this year, while their average at the plate is .257. They have 49 runs while holding a team OBP of .335.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 3.32 this season (8th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 116 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 14 home runs and also 45 runs in total (10th in the league). They have walked 37 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.62 as a team so far this season. Toronto has allowed 90 base hits (7.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 43 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.14 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.09.

Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 14 times and also have had 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 10 holds so far this season (8th in the league). The Blue Jays bullpen have earned a save rate of 71.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 17 save situations. They have tallied 5 saves for the season and have missed out on 2 of 7 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 19 runners for the season and 31.6% of those players crossed home plate. The Blue Jays have sent 45 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Blue Jays have converted 73.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,050 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with 350 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 104 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .991 which is 4th in pro baseball, and have 10 double plays.

Francis has taken the ball for 151 frames and has accumulated 138 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Francis (10-6 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.87 while he has faced 593 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.91 (49 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.925. He has surrendered 105 base knocks (6.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 35 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for an OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .241 on the year. They have struck out on 103 occasions (17th in baseball) and have accounted for 102 base knocks. Baltimore has compiled 12 long balls on the campaign as well as 51 RBIs. The Orioles hold a slugging percentage of .373 and they score 4.23 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have recorded 16 two-baggers, while taking a walk 37 times as well as notching 55 runs.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.387 with a FIP of 3.98 as a staff on the season. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 114. The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 61 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.54 (56 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.00 (99 strikeouts against 40 walks). They have conceded 13 dingers and they surrender 4.95 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

Baltimore has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 0 save chances and they have earned 0 saves. They sit at 28th in the league with a save rate of 0.0%, and they have sent 42 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 5 times in high leverage situations and on 9 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 21.4% of 14 inherited base runners. Sitting with 5 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 4 holds in addition to 0 blown saves.

In their 999 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.2% (25th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 11 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in the majors). The Orioles have racked up 106 assists, 8 errors and have accounted for 333 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Sugano has allowed 9 hits while tallying 5 strikeouts in 9 innings. Sugano (1-1 mark in his career) has a 2.97 earned run average and has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 3 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.319 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.67 and he has faced 41 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-182)

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