Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, April 25, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) San Diego (-150)

The Tampa Bay Rays (10-14) are on their way to Petco Park on Friday where they will try to beat the San Diego Padres (17-8). The line on this contest has Tampa Bay at +125 and San Diego is at -150. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Shane Baz and Michael King.

The Rays have earned 40 two-baggers as a team and have hit 22 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .398 and have struck out 190 times, while taking a walk on 77 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in MLB. They have compiled 99 runs batted in in addition to 203 hits for the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .256. They have racked up 102 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .323.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.76 for the year (9th in the league), and they have rung up 217 hitters. Rays pitchers have given up 38 home runs in addition to 97 runs (9th in baseball). They have walked 68 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.39 as a team so far this season. Tampa Bay has yielded 188 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 90 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.19 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Rays have dispatched 75 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 12 base runners over the course of the season and 50.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 4 saves on the season and have blown 3 out of their 7 save opportunities. The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 57.1% and have entered the game in 15 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 8 holds on the season (28th in baseball). Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 8 times as well as having 18 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,941 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with 647 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 215 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them ranked 13th in MLB, and have 23 double plays.

Baz has taken the hill for 141 innings and is sitting with 147 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Baz (9-5 career record) holds a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 574 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.38 (53 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.083. He has surrendered 106 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 47 free passes.

The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .401 and they average 4.12 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have 39 doubles, while getting a free base 84 times and scoring 103 runs. San Diego has hit 24 home runs for the season to go along with 94 RBIs. They have been rung up on 169 occasions (30th in baseball) and have recorded 216 base hits. The San Diego Padres have compiled a team on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a batting average of .263 for the year.

The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 74 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 2.92 (71 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 19 homers and they surrender 3.04 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.123 and have a FIP of 3.42 as a team for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (209 strikeouts against 79 walks). They are currently ranked 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 167.

San Diego has called on relievers to enter the game in 12 save chances and they have converted 11 saves. They sit at 1st in baseball with a save rate of 91.7%, and they have dispatched 80 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 26 inherited runners. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Padres have 19 holds and 1 blown save.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 17 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (7th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 179 assists, 10 errors and have earned 657 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 1,971 innings played, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 73.4% (4th in the majors).

King (29-26 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.17 earned run average while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.29 and he has gone up against 1,875 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 158 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.1. So far in his MLB career, King has conceded 376 hits while he has earned 514 strikeouts in 449 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-150)

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