Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-144) Miami (+120)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (76-86 last year) are hitting the road to loanDepot park on Sunday where they will go up against the Miami Marlins (62-100 last season). The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at -144 while Miami is priced at +120. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Andrew Heaney and Max Meyer.

The Pirates compiled 236 doubles as a team and hit 160 baseballs out of the stadium. Pittsburgh had a slugging % of .371 and struck out 1,506 times, while drawing a walk on 485 occasions. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 4.1 runs per contest, which had them sitting at 24th in MLB. They had 643 RBI's and 1,283 hits during the previous year, while their team batting average was .234. They accumulated 665 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .301.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.63 and their pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.31. Pirates pitchers allowed 166 long balls and also 739 total runs (21st in the league). Pittsburgh gave up 1,369 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 664 earned runs. The Pirates had an ERA of 4.15 for the previous season (20th in MLB), and their staff struck out 1,356 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 515 opposing batters and their FIP was 4.03 as a squad over the course of last year.

The Pirates had sent 513 relievers to the hill in the previous season. The relievers inherited 206 base runners over the course of the prior season and 34.0% of those runners crossed the plate. They compiled 43 saves over the course of last season and did not convert 29 out of their 72 chances to save the game. The Pirates bullpen earned a save rate of 59.7% and came into the game in 160 save situations. The relievers racked up 87 holds last season (13th in MLB). Pirates bullpen pitchers came into the game with players on base 133 times and also had 174 contests in high leverage situations.

The Pirates converted 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,948 innings, which had them sitting at 24th in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates finished with 4,316 putouts for the previous season, as well as 1,370 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate was at .984 which put them in 20th in pro baseball, and they turned 139 double plays.

Heaney has taken the ball for 1,014 frames and has accounted for 1,070 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.46 (502 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.265. He has surrendered 984 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 299 free passes. Heaney (51-62 career mark) has a FIP of 4.39 while he has gone up against 4,329 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Miami Marlins earned an on-base percentage of .300 and a batting average of .244 last season. They struck out on 1,410 occasions (13th in the league) and earned 1,347 base knocks. Miami had 150 home runs for the previous season in addition to 611 RBIs. The Marlins held a slugging percentage of .378 and they had an average of 3.93 runs per game (27th in MLB). They recorded 243 doubles, while getting a free base 403 times and racking up 637 runs.

The Marlins finished with a team WHIP of 1.383 and had a FIP of 4.44 as a team over the course of last year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (1,317 strikeouts against 556 bases on balls). They ranked 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,431. They conceded 195 home runs and they surrendered 5.27 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff surrendered 841 runs over the course of the prior season while having an ERA of 4.73 (755 earned runs conceded).

Wrapping up the year with 144 save situations, the Marlins recorded 82 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Miami had relief pitchers take the mound in 60 save chances and they recorded 33 saves. Their bullpen pitchers came in 186 times in high leverage situations and on 179 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers held an inherited score rate of 37.3% out of their 252 inherited runners. They ranked 29th in the league holding a save rate of 55.0%, and they sent 556 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year.

In their 12,936 innings played, the Marlins had a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (28th in baseball). The Miami Marlins had 123 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB). The Marlins recorded 1,432 assists, 117 errors and are sitting with 4,312 putouts over the course of last season.

In his career, Meyer has allowed 69 base knocks and he has 52 punch outs in 63 innings pitched. Meyer (3-6 career record) has earned a 5.86 ERA while surrendering 9.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 41 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.429 and having a FIP of 5.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and he has gone up against 274 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-144)

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