Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 4/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+172) Los Angeles (-210)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (10-15) are on their way to Dodger Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (16-9). The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +172 while the Dodgers are coming in at -210. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Mitch Keller and Roki Sasaki.

Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .335 and have been called out on strikes 225 times, while drawing a walk on 91 occasions. They have compiled 89 runs batted in as well as 185 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate is sitting at .222. The Pirates have accumulated 30 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 18 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 90 runs scored and have an OBP of .304. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18. Pirates pitchers have conceded 16 home runs and 106 total runs (15th in baseball). Pittsburgh has given up 190 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 97 earned runs. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.84 so far this year (11th in MLB), and they have rung up 200 batters. They have walked 77 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.37 as a team this year.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 23 times as well as having 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 17 holds over the course of the season (12th in baseball). The Pirates relief pitchers have a save rate of 55.6% and have entered the game in 26 save situations. They have accumulated 5 saves so far this season and have not converted 4 out of their 9 save chances. The relievers have inherited 33 runners this year with 30.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have sent 83 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Pirates have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 2,046 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in pro baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tally of 682 putouts thus far, as well as 230 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball, and have a total of 21 double plays.

Keller (37-52 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.51 while facing 3,193 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 771 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 258 free passes. His ERA is 4.58 (371 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.411. Keller has pitched in 729 innings and has totaled 707 K's during his pro baseball career.

Los Angeles has knocked in 41 home runs for the season as well as 113 RBIs. They have 32 doubles, while walking 87 times and scoring 116 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have tallied an OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .231 this season. The Dodgers hold a slugging percentage of .426 and they average 4.64 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have struck out on 210 instances (13th in MLB) and are sitting with 188 hits.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 108 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.97 (97 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 25 dingers and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.305 with a FIP of 3.72 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.90 (242 strikeouts against 99 free passes). They are sitting at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 188.

Los Angeles relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.2% out of 18 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 31 times in high leverage situations in addition to 14 occasions with runners on. With 48 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 29 holds and 6 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 100 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Los Angeles has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 17 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves.

Out of their 1,980 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (19th in MLB). The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 16 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (6th in MLB). The Dodgers have 199 assists, 10 errors and have 660 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Sasaki has surrendered 13 hits and he has 16 punch outs in 19 frames. He has conceded 7 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.510 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 1.00 and he has gone up against 86 batters during his MLB career. Sasaki (0-1 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.28 earned run average while allowing 6.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+172)

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