Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) Washington (+132)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (71-91 last season) will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67 last year) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at -160 while the Nationals are at +132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Mitchell Parker.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies earned 4.8 runs per game, which was 5th in the league. They tallied 784 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325. The Phillies tallied 285 doubles as a team and smacked 198 balls out of the park. They tallied 750 RBI's as well as 1,423 base knocks over the course of the prior season, and their batting average was .257. Philadelphia had a slugging rate of .425 and were called out on strikes 1,370 times, while being walked on 515 occasions.

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The Phillies held a team ERA of 3.85 for the prior year (11th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,433 hitters. Phillies pitchers relinquished 181 home runs and 671 runs in total (12th in MLB). They walked 444 players from the other team and their FIP was 3.86 as a unit last season. Philadelphia gave up 1,339 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 617 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio was 3.23 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies had dispatched 517 relief pitchers to the hill during the previous year. The relief pitchers inherited 134 base runners last year and 35.1% of them earned a run for their team. They had 37 saves over the course of last year and blew 19 out of their 56 save chances. The Phillies relief pitchers compiled a save rate of 66.1% and came into the game in 135 save situations. The relievers accumulated 78 holds over the course of last year (24th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers came into the game with players on base 96 times and also had 168 contests in high leverage situations.

The Phillies turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,984 innings, which had them sitting 21st in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies accumulated 4,328 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,467 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .986 which had them sitting 12th in MLB, and they turned 121 double plays.

Nola has taken the ball for 1,621 innings and has 1,779 strikeouts during his MLB career. Nola (104-79 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.65 while he has faced 6,635 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.70 (667 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.137. He has given up 1,423 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 421 walks.

Washington accounted for 135 home runs in the previous season and 621 runs batted in. They hit 267 doubles, while walking 456 times as well as putting up 660 runs. The Washington Nationals tallied an OBP of .309 as well as a batting average of .243 over the course of the prior season. The Nationals held a team SLG% of .375 and they tallied 4.07 runs per contest (25th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,220 instances (26th in the league) and were sitting with 1,306 hits.

The Nationals held a team WHIP of 1.326 with a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff over the course of the prior season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.20 (1,314 strikeouts against 473 walks). They ranked 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,429. They surrendered 168 long balls and they relinquished 4.79 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Washington pitching staff given up 764 runs last season while holding an ERA of 4.30 (685 earned runs conceded).

Washington had relievers take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they tallied 40 saves. They were ranked 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.5%, and they sent 568 relievers onto the field last season. Their relief pitchers came in 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers held an inherited score rate of 35.6% out of their 222 inherited base runners. Wrapping up the year with 144 save situations, the Nationals had 81 holds and 23 blown saves.

In 12,906 innings on the diamond, the Nationals earned a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in the majors). The Washington Nationals turned 155 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in baseball). The Nationals recorded 1,438 assists, 109 errors and had 4,302 putouts over the course of the prior season.

During his pro baseball career, Parker has conceded 154 hits while he has totaled 133 K's in 151 innings. Parker (7-10 mark in his career) holds a 4.29 earned run average while conceding 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 72 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and he has faced 646 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+132)

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