Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 3/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-196) Washington (+162)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (71-91 last season) will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (95-67 last year) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -196 and Washington is sitting at +162. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Jake Irvin.

The Phillies compiled 285 two-baggers as a team and hit 198 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia had a slugging percentage of .425 and were rung up 1,370 times, while being walked on 515 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies notched 4.8 runs per outing, which ranked them 5th in baseball. They accrued 750 RBI's and 1,423 hits last year, while their batting average came in at .257. They tallied 784 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .325.

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They had a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers allowed 181 long balls and 671 runs in total (12th in MLB). Philadelphia yielded 1,339 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 617 earned runs. The Phillies had a team ERA of 3.85 during the previous year (11th in baseball), and their staff rung up 1,433 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 444 opposing batters and their FIP was 3.86 as a squad over the course of the prior season.

The Phillies relief pitchers earned a save rate of 66.1% and entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 134 base runners in the prior season and 35.1% of those players crossed the plate. Phillies pitchers went to the mound with runners on 96 times as well as having 168 games in high leverage situations. The Phillies had sent 517 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of last year. The relievers accumulated 78 holds during the previous year (24th in the league). They earned 37 saves over the course of last season and missed out on 19 out of their 56 save opportunities.

The Phillies turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,984 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 21st in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies finished with 4,328 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,467 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .986 which had them sitting 12th in professional baseball, and accumulated 121 double plays.

Luzardo (26-34 career record) holds a FIP of 4.22 while he has gone up against 2,146 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 461 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 180 free passes. His earned run average is 4.29 (244 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.252. Luzardo has taken the mound for 512 innings and has accumulated 559 strikeouts during his career.

The Nationals had a slugging percentage of .375 and they scored 4.07 runs per outing (25th in the league). They notched 267 two-baggers, while walking 456 times and putting up 660 runs. Washington compiled 135 home runs last year to go along with 621 RBIs. They were rung up on 1,220 occasions (26th in baseball) and had a total of 1,306 base knocks. The Washington Nationals tallied an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .243 during the previous year.

The Nationals had a team WHIP of 1.326 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff for the previous season. They were ranked 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,429. The Washington pitching staff yielded 764 runs for the prior year while having an ERA of 4.30 (685 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio was 8.20 (1,314 strikeouts against 473 bases on balls). They conceded 168 HR's and they conceded 4.79 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB).

Finishing with 144 save situations, the Nationals accrued 81 holds and also 23 blown saves. Washington had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 63 save opportunities and they tallied 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers took the field 136 times in high leverage situations and on 156 occasions with runners on base. Washington relievers held an inherited score percentage of 35.6% out of 222 inherited base runners. They were ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 63.5%, and they sent 568 relievers to the hill last season.

The Washington Nationals had 155 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). The Nationals accrued 1,438 assists, 109 errors and amassed 4,302 putouts for the previous season. In 12,906 innings on the field, the Nationals accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Irvin has conceded 291 hits while he has tallied 255 strikeouts in 308 innings pitched. Irvin (13-21 career record) has a 4.50 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 154 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.288 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.41 and he has gone up against 1,299 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+162)

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