Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-132) Washington (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (95-67 last year) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Thursday where they will take on the Washington Nationals (71-91 last season). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -132 while the Nationals are priced at +110. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Zack Wheeler and MacKenzie Gore.

Philadelphia had a slugging percentage of .425 and were called out on strikes 1,370 times, while being walked on 515 occasions. They tallied 750 RBI's and 1,423 base knocks last season, while their average at the plate sat at .257. The Phillies hit 285 doubles as a team and hit 198 balls out of the stadium. They had a total of 784 runs scored and held an OBP of .325. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies put up 4.8 runs per game, which was 5th in the league.

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The Phillies had an earned run average of 3.85 in the previous season (11th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,433 hitters. Phillies pitchers surrendered 181 home runs and also 671 total runs (12th in baseball). They walked 444 hitters and their FIP was 3.86 as a squad in the prior season. Philadelphia gave up 1,339 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 617 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Phillies pitchers went to the mound with players on base 96 times in addition to having 168 contests in high leverage situations. The relievers earned 78 holds in the previous season (24th in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers accumulated a save percentage of 66.1% and entered the game in 135 save situations. They compiled 37 saves in the prior season and missed out on 19 of their 56 chances to save the game. The relievers inherited 134 base runners over the course of last year and 35.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Phillies dispatched 517 relief pitchers to the mound in the previous season.

The Philadelphia Phillies had a tally of 4,328 putouts last season, as well as 1,467 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .986 which ranked 12th in pro baseball, and earned 121 double plays. The Phillies converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,984 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 21st in MLB.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,578 innings and is sitting with 1,625 punch outs in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.34 (585 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.156. He has allowed 1,368 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 457 walks. Wheeler (103-70 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.29 and he has faced 6,501 opposing batters in the majors.

Washington had 135 home runs over the course of last season and 621 runs batted in. They hit 267 two-baggers, while getting a free base 456 times and racking up 660 runs. The Washington Nationals had a team on-base percentage of .309 and a team batting average of .243 over the course of last season. The Nationals had a team slugging % of .375 and they were scoring 4.07 runs per game (25th in baseball). They struck out on 1,220 instances (26th in baseball) and earned a total of 1,306 base hits.

The Washington pitching staff given up 764 runs over the course of last season while having an ERA of 4.30 (685 earned runs relinquished). They gave up 168 homers and they conceded 4.79 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Nationals had a team WHIP of 1.326 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff over the course of last year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (1,314 strikeouts against 473 bases on balls). They finished at 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,429.

Washington relievers held an inherited score rate of 35.6% out of 222 inherited runners. Their relievers came in 136 times in high leverage situations in addition to 156 occasions with runners on. Wrapping up the year with 144 save situations, the Nationals had 81 holds and also 23 blown saves. They ranked 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.5%, and they sent 568 relievers to the mound last season. Washington had relief pitchers enter the contest in 63 save opportunities and they came away with 40 saves.

The Washington Nationals had 155 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Nationals recorded 1,438 assists, 109 errors and accounted for 4,302 putouts for the prior year. In their 12,906 innings on the field, the Nationals held a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in MLB).

Gore (21-26 mark in his career) has earned a 4.21 earned run average and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.54 and he has faced 1,622 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 174 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.424 and having a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Gore has conceded 371 hits while he has earned 404 punch outs in 372 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+110)

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