Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+106) New York (-128)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (15-7) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (13-9) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +106 while New York is priced at -128. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cristopher Sanchez and Griffin Canning.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which is 7th in MLB. They have racked up 103 runs while holding a team OBP of .342. The Phillies have earned 36 doubles as a unit and have hit 20 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 96 runs batted in and 186 hits for the year, and their team batting average is at .253. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .394 and have struck out 178 times, while drawing a walk on 96 occasions.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 4.29 so far this season (22nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 216 hitters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 27 home runs in addition to 101 runs in total (20th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 64 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a squad so far this year. Philadelphia has surrendered 195 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 94 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.38 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 53.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 28 save situations. The relievers have inherited 18 base runners on the campaign with 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Phillies pitchers have entered the game with players on base 12 times in addition to having 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 71 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have 14 holds on the campaign (15th in the league). They have recorded 7 saves on the year and have not converted 6 of their 13 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 591 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 189 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which has them ranked 7th in the majors, and have earned 17 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,773 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 26th in pro baseball.

Sanchez has thrown 357 innings and has racked up 328 punch outs in his career. Sanchez (19-16 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.60 while facing 1,487 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.65 (145 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.220. He has surrendered 346 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 90 free passes.

The Mets have a team slugging % of .394 and they average 4.14 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have recorded 47 doubles, while walking 72 times and earning 91 runs. New York is sitting with 20 home runs for the season and 86 runs batted in. They have struck out on 160 instances (27th in the league) and have notched a total of 166 base hits. The New York Mets have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .305 and a team batting average of .230 on the campaign.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.154 and are the owners of a FIP of 2.73 as a unit for the year. They come in at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 152. The New York pitching staff have allowed 61 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 2.35 (51 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (211 strikeouts vs 73 free passes). They have relinquished 9 homers and they surrender 2.82 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 24.2% out of 33 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 28 times in high leverage situations in addition to 22 occasions with base runners. With 28 save situations, the Mets have 19 holds and 2 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 70 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 9 save chances and they have earned 7 saves.

In 1,755 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (16th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (4th in the majors). The Mets have accrued 190 assists, 8 errors and have accumulated 585 putouts this year.

Canning (27-35 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.73 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.61 and he has gone up against 2,262 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 278 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.333 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. During his MLB career, Canning has allowed 512 base knocks while totaling 504 K's in 529 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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