Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+125) Chicago (-145)

The Chicago Cubs (16-10) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (13-12) at Wrigley Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at +125 while the Cubs are priced at -145. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Aaron Nola and Jameson Taillon.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 12th in the league. They have 111 runs while holding a team OBP of .340. The Phillies have tallied 38 doubles as a squad and have smacked 21 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 104 RBI's in addition to 212 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .251. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .381 and have struck out 206 times, while drawing a walk on 108 occasions.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 4.32 this season (22nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 246 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 31 home runs in addition to 115 runs in total (20th in baseball). They have walked 75 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a squad for the year. Philadelphia has given up 222 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 107 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Phillies have dispatched 81 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 21 base runners for the year and 42.9% of those players earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 7 saves this season and have blown 7 of their 14 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have 14 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 15 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 668 putouts for the season, in addition to 212 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which is 5th in baseball, and have 19 double plays. The Phillies have converted 66.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,004 innings on the field, which has them ranked 27th in the majors.

Nola has pitched in 1,649 innings and has earned 1,810 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.75 (687 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.145. He has given up 1,457 base hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 432 walks. Nola (104-84 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.69 while he has faced 6,761 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Chicago Cubs have an on-base percentage of .346 in addition to a batting average of .265 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 217 occasions (11th in baseball) and have recorded 243 hits. Chicago has a total of 38 home runs this year and 160 RBIs. The Cubs hold a slugging % of .460 and they have an average of 6.27 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have tallied 49 doubles, while getting a free base 108 times as well as scoring 163 runs.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.365 in addition to having a FIP of 4.31 as a team this year. They are sitting at 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 226. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 120 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.17 (108 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.00 (206 strikeouts vs 92 free passes). They have relinquished 32 dingers and they yield 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 53.8%, and they have dispatched 90 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers have an inherited score percentage of 43.3% out of their 30 inherited base runners. With 31 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 17 holds and also 6 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 16 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (24th in baseball). The Cubs have 204 assists, 17 errors and have accounted for 699 putouts over the course of the season. In 2,097 innings on the field, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (21st in MLB).

In his MLB career, Taillon has allowed 1,097 hits while accumulating 999 punch outs in 1,133 frames. Taillon (72-54 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.92 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 493 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.210 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.65 and he has faced 4,721 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+125)

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