Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+102) Chicago (-122)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (16-10) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (13-12) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at +102 and Chicago is opening at -122. The total is 9. The starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Ben Brown.

Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .381 and have been rung up 206 times, while drawing a walk on 108 occasions. They have compiled 104 runs batted in in addition to 212 hits so far this season, and their batting average comes in at .251. The Phillies have tallied 38 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 21 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 111 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .340. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 12th in the league.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.32 this season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 246 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 31 long balls and 115 runs in total (22nd in baseball). They have walked 75 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.76 as a squad for the season. Philadelphia has conceded 222 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 107 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.28 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Phillies relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 21 base runners on the campaign with 42.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 15 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 81 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have recorded 14 holds so far this year (18th in MLB). They have accumulated 7 saves so far this year and have blown 7 of their 14 save chances.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 668 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 212 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .989 which ranks 5th in baseball, and have earned 19 double plays. The Phillies have turned 66.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,004 innings on the field, which has them ranked 27th in the majors.

Luzardo (28-34 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.10 while he has faced 2,266 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 487 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 187 walks. His ERA is 4.17 (251 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.243. Luzardo has pitched in 542 innings and has earned 595 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .460 and they have an average of 6.27 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have 49 two-baggers, while walking 108 times as well as putting up 163 runs. Chicago has accumulated 38 home runs on the campaign and 160 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 217 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned 243 base hits. The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team OBP of .346 as well as a batting average of .265 for the season.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.365 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.32 as a staff on the year. They have a ranking of 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 226. The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 120 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.17 (108 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (206 strikeouts vs 92 walks). They have surrendered 32 home runs and they relinquish 4.64 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 13 save chances and they have come away with 7 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 53.8%, and they have dispatched 90 relievers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have taken the field 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 43.3% out of 30 inherited runners. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Cubs have earned 17 holds and 6 blown saves.

In 2,097 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (21st in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 16 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in baseball). The Cubs have recorded 204 assists, 17 errors and have a tally of 699 putouts on the campaign.

Brown (3-4 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.89 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.81 and he has gone up against 327 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 33 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Brown has surrendered 66 hits while accumulating 90 punch outs in 76 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+102)

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