New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL
TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Tampa Bay (+110)
The Tampa Bay Rays (8-11) will compete against the New York Yankees (12-7) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have New York at -130 while Tampa Bay is priced at +110. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried and Ryan Pepiot.


The Yankees have accounted for 32 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 34 balls out of the park. New York is slugging .481 and have struck out 174 times, while taking a walk on 73 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are notching 6.0 runs per game, which has them at 1st in MLB. They have amassed 109 runs batted in in addition to 165 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .260. They have tallied 113 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .345.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.28 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 21 home runs and 86 runs (21st in the league). New York has relinquished 124 base hits (6.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 77 earned runs. The Yankees have an ERA of 4.15 this season (20th in the league), and their staff has struck out 187 batters. They have walked 82 opposing players and their FIP is 3.92 as a squad on the season.
The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save rate of 87.5% and have entered the game in 21 save situations. The relievers have inherited 34 base runners on the season and 11.8% of those runners crossed the plate. Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 24 times as well as having 12 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 63 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 13 holds this year (14th in MLB). They have compiled 7 saves over the course of the season and have blown 1 out of their 8 chances to save the game.
The New York Mets have accumulated 501 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 146 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 8th in the majors, and have a total of 9 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 73.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,503 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball.
Fried has taken the ball for 908 innings and has accumulated 891 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.04 (307 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.164. He has allowed 806 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 251 walks. Fried (76-36 career mark) has a FIP of 3.00 and he has gone up against 3,719 hitters during his time in the major leagues.
The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a team OBP of .333 in addition to a batting average of .270 for the year. They have struck out on 152 instances (19th in MLB) and have recorded 169 base hits. Tampa Bay has knocked in 20 home runs for the year as well as 81 runs batted in. The Rays have a team SLG% of .418 and they are earning 4.42 runs per game (12th in baseball). They have recorded 26 doubles, while getting a free base 59 times and racking up 84 runs.
The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.153 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a pitching staff for the year. They come in at 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 148. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 73 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.59 (67 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.40 (177 strikeouts against 46 bases on balls). They have allowed 30 home runs and they concede 3.91 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).
Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers enter the game in 5 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 58 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 13 times in high leverage situations and also on 4 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 57.1% out of 7 inherited base runners. With 13 save situations, the Rays have recorded 8 holds and also 2 blown saves.
The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 16 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (12th in baseball). The Rays have recorded 169 assists, 9 errors and have a tally of 506 putouts so far this season. In 1,518 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (10th in baseball).
Pepiot (14-11 record in his career) has earned a 3.44 ERA while allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.76 and he has gone up against 960 hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded 88 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.173 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. During his career, Pepiot has surrendered 181 hits while totaling 246 punch outs in 230 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)
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Additional Resources:
Tampa Bay Rays - Twitter
New York Yankees - Twitter