New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Tampa Bay (+162)

The Tampa Bay Rays (8-10) are hosting the New York Yankees (11-7) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at -196 and the Rays are at +162. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Carlos Carrasco and Shane Baz.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.9 runs per game, which is 1st in baseball. They have a total of 107 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .343. The Yankees have accrued 31 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 33 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 103 RBI's and 154 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is .258. New York has a slugging % of .485 and have been called out on strikes 169 times, while drawing a walk on 69 occasions.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 4.22 this year (22nd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 180 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 20 home runs and 83 runs (19th in baseball). They have walked 79 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a squad so far this season. New York has conceded 112 hits (6.4 per 9 innings) as well as 74 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.28 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Yankees have dispatched 59 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 29 base runners over the course of the season with 13.8% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 6 saves on the year and have blown 1 out of their 7 chances to save the game. The Yankees bullpen have earned a save rate of 85.7% and stepped onto the hill in 19 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 12 holds on the campaign (16th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 22 times and also have had 10 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 74.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,422 innings, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball. The New York Mets have earned 474 putouts for the season, in addition to 136 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them sitting 9th in baseball, and they have turned 8 double plays.

Carrasco has thrown 1,657 innings and has earned 1,676 punch outs during his career. Carrasco (112-104 career mark) has a FIP of 4.10 while facing 6,931 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.16 (767 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.258. He has given up 1,629 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 456 free passes.

The Rays have a team slugging % of .416 and they average 4.50 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have hit 25 two-baggers, while getting a free base 56 times and notching 81 runs. Tampa Bay has accumulated 19 long balls so far this season to go along with 78 runs batted in. They have struck out on 145 occasions (19th in baseball) and are sitting with 157 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for an OBP of .330 and a batting average of .267 this season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 67 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.45 (61 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 29 homers and they yield 3.79 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.124 with a FIP of 4.14 as a squad for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.70 (172 strikeouts against 42 free passes). They come in at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 137.

With 13 save situations, the Rays have 8 holds and 2 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers enter the game in 5 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 12 times in high leverage situations and also on 3 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% out of 5 inherited base runners. They sit at 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 54 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 14 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in professional baseball). The Rays have racked up 157 assists, 9 errors and have 479 putouts during this campaign. In 1,437 innings played, the Rays have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (10th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Baz has allowed 102 base hits while he has tallied 144 strikeouts in 138 innings pitched. Baz (9-5 mark in his career) has a 3.13 earned run average while allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 48 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.049 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 556 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+162)

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