New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-275) Pittsburgh (+220)

PNC Park is the location where the Pittsburgh Pirates (2-5) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (3-2) on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at -275 while Pittsburgh is at +220. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Marcus Stroman and Bailey Falter.

As a squad, the New York Yankees are scoring 8.8 runs per game, which has them at 1st in MLB. They have notched a total of 44 runs and have an on-base percentage of .345. The Yankees have tallied 5 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 19 balls out of the park. They have earned 41 runs batted in in addition to 45 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is at .266. New York has a slugging % of .633 and have been called out on strikes 51 times, while being walked on 19 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Yankees pitchers have conceded 6 home runs and also 25 runs in total (13th in baseball). New York has surrendered 34 base hits (6.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 21 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 4.20 on the year (17th in baseball), and they have struck out 49 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 22 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a team so far this year.

The Yankees have dispatched 17 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 6 base runners on the season and 16.7% of them crossed home plate. They have 1 save so far this season and have blown 1 of their 2 chances to get a save. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 7 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 5 holds so far this year (12th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 5 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accumulated 135 putouts so far this season, as well as 44 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .973 which ranks 29th in the majors, and have 2 double plays. The Yankees have turned 72.6% of balls in play into outs in their 405 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball.

Stroman (87-85 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.67 while he has faced 6,118 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,429 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 437 free passes. His earned run average is 3.73 (606 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.276. Stroman has thrown 1,462 innings and is sitting with 1,207 K's so far in his MLB career.

Pittsburgh has recorded 4 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 18 RBIs. They have put up 5 doubles, while getting a free base 28 times as well as scoring 19 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an on-base percentage of .291 and a batting average of .197 on the season. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .278 and they average 2.71 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 66 instances (5th in the league) and have 46 hits.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 31 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.98 (27 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 3 dingers and they allow 4.57 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.408 in addition to having a FIP of 3.17 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.90 (54 strikeouts vs 28 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 58.

Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have tallied 2 saves. They sit at 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 27 relievers to the hill for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 17 times in high leverage situations and on 7 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 16.7% out of their 12 inherited runners. With 13 save situations, the Pirates have accumulated 8 holds and 3 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 8 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .980 (25th in pro baseball). The Pirates have 65 assists, 5 errors and have accounted for 184 putouts on the season. Out of their 552 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (26th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Falter has conceded 358 base hits while tallying 269 punch outs in 346 innings pitched. Falter (18-23 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.60 earned run average and has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 177 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.288 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.06 and he has gone up against 1,449 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-275)

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