New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, April 4, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Pittsburgh (+125)

The New York Yankees (3-2) are en route to PNC Park on Friday where they will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (2-5). The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees at -145 and the Pirates are coming in at +125. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Max Fried and Mitch Keller.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are recording 8.8 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have accounted for 44 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .345. The Yankees have recorded 5 doubles as a team and have smacked 19 balls out of the park. They have recorded 41 runs batted in in addition to 45 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .266. New York has a slugging % of .633 and have struck out 51 times, while drawing a walk on 19 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Yankees pitchers have yielded 6 long balls and also 25 runs (13th in MLB). New York has yielded 34 hits (6.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 21 earned runs. The Yankees have a team ERA of 4.20 for the year (17th in the league), and the staff has struck out 49 hitters. They have walked 22 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a team so far this year.

The Yankees bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 7 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 6 base runners so far this year with 16.7% of those players crossed the plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 5 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 17 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have 5 holds on the season (12th in the league). They have compiled 1 save on the campaign and have not converted 1 of 2 save opportunities.

The Yankees have converted 72.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 405 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 135 putouts this season, in addition to 44 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .973 which has them sitting 29th in baseball, and have a total of 2 double plays.

Fried (73-36 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.03 while facing 3,643 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 790 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 248 free passes. His ERA is 3.08 (304 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. Fried has taken the hill for 888 innings and has earned 867 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Pittsburgh has accumulated 4 home runs for the season as well as 18 runs batted in. They have 5 doubles, while getting a free base 28 times as well as notching 19 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded a team OBP of .291 in addition to a team batting average of .197 so far this season. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .278 and they average 2.71 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have been rung up on 66 occasions (5th in MLB) and have totaled 46 hits.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.408 in addition to having a FIP of 3.17 as a squad on the campaign. They are sitting at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 58. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 31 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.98 (27 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.90 (54 strikeouts vs 28 walks). They have yielded 3 HR's and they surrender 4.57 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

Sitting with 13 save situations, the Pirates have amassed 8 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 5 save chances and they have come away with 2 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 17 times in high leverage situations and also on 7 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 16.7% of 12 inherited runners. They rank 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 27 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

In their 552 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (26th in baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 8 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (25th in baseball). The Pirates have 65 assists, 5 errors and have a total of 184 putouts so far this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Keller has allowed 748 hits while he has totaled 691 K's in 707 innings. He has conceded 359 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.410 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.78 and he has gone up against 3,092 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Keller (37-50 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.57 ERA and has given up 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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