New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Baltimore (+126)

The Baltimore Orioles (10-17) will try to beat the New York Yankees (17-11) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -152 and Baltimore is at +126. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Carlos Rodon and Kyle Gibson.

The Yankees have earned 50 doubles as a team and have hit 45 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging rate of .468 and have been rung up 264 times, while taking a walk on 114 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are notching 5.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 2nd in baseball. They have 150 runs batted in and 247 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is at .262. They have earned a total of 155 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .348.

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The Yankees have compiled a team ERA of 3.70 on the year (11th in MLB), and they have struck out 251 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 26 home runs and 113 total runs (11th in the league). They have walked 112 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a team for the season. New York has yielded 183 hits (6.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 101 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.24 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 31 times in addition to having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 19 holds over the course of the season (9th in the league). The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 31 save situations. They have earned 9 saves so far this season and have blown 3 of their 12 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 43 runners this year with 16.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Yankees have sent 90 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The New York Mets have accounted for 738 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 237 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which is 16th in baseball, and have a total of 17 double plays. The Yankees have converted 73.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,214 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball.

Rodon (78-66 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.78 while he has gone up against 4,732 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 973 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 422 free passes. His earned run average is 3.84 (479 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.243. Rodon has taken the ball for 1,122 innings and has accounted for 1,251 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Orioles have a team slugging % of .380 and they are earning 4.00 runs per game (19th in the league). They have put up 31 doubles, while walking 79 times as well as scoring 108 runs. Baltimore has recorded 33 home runs on the year to go along with 100 runs batted in. They have struck out on 233 instances (15th in baseball) and have earned a total of 196 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have compiled an OBP of .297 in addition to a team batting average of .223 over the course of the season.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.562 with a FIP of 4.70 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.20 (186 strikeouts vs 101 bases on balls). They rank 29th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 263. They have given up 33 homers and they relinquish 5.68 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 147 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 5.37 (139 earned runs allowed).

With 23 save situations, the Orioles have 17 holds and also 1 blown save. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 20 times in high leverage situations in addition to 33 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 23.8% of 42 inherited runners. They sit at 3rd in MLB holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 93 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 26 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Orioles have racked up 242 assists, 13 errors and have notched a total of 699 putouts so far this season. In 2,097 innings on the diamond, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 66.5% (29th in pro baseball).

Gibson (112-108 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.52 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and he has faced 7,996 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 936 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.375 and having a FIP of 4.4. During his pro baseball career, Gibson has allowed 1,908 base hits while he has totaled 1,510 strikeouts in 1,865 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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