New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Baltimore (+126)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is where the Baltimore Orioles (10-14) will meet the New York Yankees (15-10) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -152 while the Orioles are sitting at +126. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Will Warren and Tomoyuki Sugano.

As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 5.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 2nd in MLB. They have a total of 137 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .344. The Yankees have hit 40 doubles as a team and have hit 41 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 132 RBI's in addition to 216 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .258. New York has a slugging % of .462 and have been called out on strikes 241 times, while being walked on 100 occasions.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.86 over the course of the season (11th in baseball), and they have rung up 232 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 24 home runs in addition to 106 runs in total (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 103 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.80 as a team so far this season. New York has surrendered 160 hits (6.6 per 9 innings) as well as 94 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Yankees have sent 79 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 base runners this season with 14.6% of them ended up scoring. They have 9 saves on the year and have blown 2 out of their 11 save opportunities. The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 81.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 28 save situations. The relievers have notched 17 holds for the season (13th in the league). Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 29 times in addition to having 21 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accounted for 657 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 201 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball, and have a total of 14 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 73.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,971 innings on the field, which has them sitting 3rd in professional baseball.

Warren (1-3 record in his career) has a FIP of 7.74 while he has faced 197 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 49 base knocks (10.4 hits per nine innings) and has 20 walks. His ERA is 7.85 (37 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.627. Warren has pitched in 42 innings and has totaled 50 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .296 and a batting average of .223 this year. They have struck out on 203 occasions (19th in baseball) and have totaled 174 base hits. Baltimore has compiled 31 HRs for the season and 95 RBIs. The Orioles have a team slugging % of .391 and they score 4.29 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have recorded 30 doubles, while walking 71 times and scoring 103 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 130 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 5.25 (122 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 31 homers and they allow 5.60 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.541 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.68 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.00 (163 strikeouts vs 82 bases on balls). They come in at 30th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 240.

Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 4 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 83 relievers to the mound this season. Their relievers have come in 20 times in high leverage situations in addition to 29 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 18.4% out of 38 inherited base runners. Sitting with 23 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 17 holds and also 1 blown save.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 25 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (19th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 224 assists, 13 errors and have amassed 627 putouts on the campaign. In 1,881 innings on the diamond, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 66.3% (29th in professional baseball).

Sugano (2-1 record in his career) has a 3.54 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.80 and he has gone up against 113 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 11 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.143 and having a FIP of 3.5. In his pro baseball career, Sugano has surrendered 27 base knocks while accumulating 9 punch outs in 28 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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