New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 4/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Washington (+162)

The Washington Nationals (11-14) will compete against the New York Mets (18-7) at Nationals Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -196 while the Nationals are sitting at +162. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Griffin Canning and Trevor Williams.

New York has a slugging % of .398 and have struck out 190 times, while drawing a walk on 83 occasions. They have compiled 100 RBI's and 193 hits so far this season, and their batting average sits at .234. The Mets have earned 51 doubles as a team and have knocked 24 balls out of the park. They have earned 105 runs scored and hold an OBP of .310. As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 4.2 runs per contest, which has them at 17th in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Mets pitchers have surrendered 10 home runs and also 69 runs (1st in the league). New York has conceded 178 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) as well as 58 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 2.34 this season (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 239 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 85 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 2.74 as a team on the campaign.

The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 80.0% and have come into the game in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 38 base runners for the season and 26.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 26 times and also have had 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 82 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have accumulated 23 holds on the campaign (4th in the league). They have accumulated 8 saves so far this year and have not converted 2 out of their 10 save chances.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 669 putouts on the year, in addition to 211 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which ranks 1st in MLB, and have accumulated 20 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,007 innings on the field, which has them ranked 17th in baseball.

Canning has pitched in 534 innings and is sitting with 509 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.70 (279 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.335. He has conceded 519 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 194 walks. Canning (28-35 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.63 and he has faced 2,285 hitters in the majors.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with an OBP of .301 in addition to a batting average of .232 so far this season. They have struck out on 184 occasions (27th in MLB) and have earned 189 base hits. Washington has knocked in 27 HRs this year as well as 99 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a team SLG% of .381 and they tally 4.20 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have notched 34 two-baggers, while getting a free base 76 times and recording 105 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 118 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.69 (113 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 23 homers and they concede 4.89 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.396 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (216 strikeouts vs 94 bases on balls). They sit at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 209.

With 24 save situations, the Nationals have earned 12 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Washington has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 12 save chances and they have earned 9 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 21 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on. Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 47.1% out of their 51 inherited base runners. They are ranked 6th in baseball with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 82 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

In 1,953 innings played, the Nationals have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (24th in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have turned 15 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in baseball). The Nationals have recorded 210 assists, 10 errors and have a tally of 651 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Williams has allowed 991 base knocks while tallying 781 strikeouts in 950 innings. He has conceded a total of 457 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.368 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and he has gone up against 4,099 opposing batters thus far in his career. Williams (51-57 career record) is the owner of a 4.33 earned run average while conceding 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+162) and under 8.5 runs

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