New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 4/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Washington (+162)

Nationals Park is where the Washington Nationals (11-14) will take on the New York Mets (18-7) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -196 while the Nationals are coming in at +162. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Tylor Megill and Mitchell Parker.

New York owns a slugging percentage of .398 and have struck out 190 times, while drawing a walk on 83 occasions. They have accounted for 100 runs batted in and 193 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .234. The Mets have accounted for 51 doubles as a team and have smacked 24 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 105 runs and hold an OBP of .310. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 17th in baseball.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 2.34 this season (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 239 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 10 long balls and 69 total runs (1st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 85 opposing players and their FIP sits at 2.74 as a squad on the campaign. New York has relinquished 178 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 58 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.81 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18.

The Mets relievers have recorded a save rate of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 38 base runners this year with 26.3% of them earned a run for their team. Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 26 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 82 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 23 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). They have 8 saves for the season and have blown 2 of 10 chances to save the game.

The Mets have turned 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,007 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 669 putouts this season, in addition to 211 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which has them ranked 1st in pro baseball, and they have turned 20 double plays.

Megill has pitched in 365 frames and has 376 strikeouts during his career. Megill (24-23 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.27 and he has gone up against 1,591 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.34 (176 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.385. He has allowed 365 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 141 free passes.

The Washington Nationals hold an OBP of .301 in addition to a batting average of .232 for the year. They have been rung up on 184 instances (27th in MLB) and have recorded 189 hits. Washington has accounted for 27 home runs on the year to go along with 99 RBIs. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .381 and they average 4.20 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have tallied 34 doubles, while getting a free base 76 times as well as racking up 105 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.396 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 209. The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 118 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.69 (113 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (216 strikeouts vs 94 walks). They have allowed 23 homers and they concede 4.89 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Sitting with 24 save situations, the Nationals have amassed 12 holds and also 3 blown saves. Washington has had relief pitchers enter the game in 12 save opportunities and they have walked away with 9 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on base. Washington relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 47.1% of 51 inherited base runners. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 82 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

The Washington Nationals have turned 15 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (6th in MLB). The Nationals have racked up 210 assists, 10 errors and have earned a total of 651 putouts so far this season. In 1,953 innings on the diamond, the Nationals are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (24th in MLB).

Parker (10-11 career record) has a 3.78 earned run average while surrendering 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and he has gone up against 774 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 77 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Parker has surrendered 173 hits while he has tallied 153 punch outs in 183 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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