New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 4/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Washington (+106)

The Washington Nationals (11-13) will try to beat the New York Mets (18-7) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -128 and Washington is coming in at +106. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Clay Holmes and Brad Lord.

As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 18th in baseball. They have notched a total of 105 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310. The Mets have accumulated 51 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 24 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 100 runs batted in and 193 hits on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .234. New York has a slugging % of .398 and have struck out 190 times, while being walked on 83 occasions.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 2.34 for the season (1st in the league), and they have struck out 239 batters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 10 long balls and also 69 runs in total (1st in MLB). They have walked 85 hitters and their FIP is 2.74 as a unit so far this season. New York has given up 178 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 58 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Mets have sent 82 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 38 base runners over the course of the season with 26.3% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 8 saves on the campaign and have blown 2 out of their 10 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 80.0% and have come into the game in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers have 23 holds for the year (3rd in baseball). Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 26 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have 669 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 211 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which ranks 2nd in the majors, and they have turned 20 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,007 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 17th in baseball.

Holmes has taken the ball for 362 innings and has totaled 394 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.68 (148 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.308. He has surrendered 308 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 166 walks. Holmes (26-23 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.62 while he has faced 1,573 batters in the major leagues.

The Nationals have a slugging percentage of .389 and they score 4.33 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have 33 two-baggers, while walking 75 times and scoring 104 runs. Washington has recorded 27 HRs this season as well as 98 RBIs. They have struck out on 178 instances (27th in the league) and are sitting with 184 hits. The Washington Nationals are sitting with an OBP of .305 and a team batting average of .236 on the season.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.428 with a FIP of 4.07 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (203 strikeouts vs 92 walks). They come in at 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 205. They have allowed 23 homers and they relinquish 5.02 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 116 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.80 (111 earned runs yielded).

Washington has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 12 save chances and they have tallied 9 saves. They are currently ranked 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 80 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 47.1% out of 51 inherited runners. With 24 save situations, the Nationals have 12 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 15 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 203 assists, 10 errors and have earned a total of 624 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 1,872 innings played, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (25th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Lord has surrendered 16 hits and he has 10 strikeouts in 13 frames. Lord (0-2 career win-loss record) has a 4.81 earned run average and has conceded 11.0 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 7 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.908 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.11 and he has gone up against 62 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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