New York Mets vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 4/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Sacramento (+150)

Sutter Health Park is the location where the Sacramento Athletics (5-8) will try to beat the New York Mets (8-4) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -182 while the Athletics are priced at +150. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Griffin Canning and JP Sears.

The Mets have compiled 22 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 9 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .349 and have been called out on strikes 81 times, while drawing a walk on 41 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.8 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 18th in the league. They have 44 RBI's as well as 80 hits on the year, and their team batting average comes in at .210. They have notched a total of 45 runs scored while having a team OBP of .293.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Mets pitchers have conceded 6 home runs in addition to 32 runs in total (1st in baseball). New York has yielded 82 hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and 25 earned runs. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 2.10 this season (1st in the league), and they have struck out 118 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 45 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 2.92 as a squad on the season.

Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 16 times and also have had 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 10 holds over the course of the season (7th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 100.0% and has come into the game in 14 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves on the year and have blown 0 of their 4 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 26 base runners so far this year and 19.2% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 40 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 321 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 108 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which is 10th in professional baseball, and have a total of 10 double plays. The Mets have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 963 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 17th in the majors.

Canning has taken the mound for 517 frames and has racked up 493 strikeouts in his career. Canning (25-35 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.68 while he has faced 2,214 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.75 (273 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.334. He has allowed 502 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 188 free passes.

Sacramento has knocked in 19 home runs for the year as well as 52 runs batted in. They have notched 16 doubles, while taking a walk 43 times and putting up 56 runs. The Sacramento Athletics have tallied an OBP of .310 and a team batting average of .242 so far this year. The Athletics hold a slugging % of .407 and they score 4.31 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 93 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have a total of 107 base knocks.

The Athletics are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.552 in addition to having a FIP of 4.42 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20 (118 strikeouts against 53 walks). They rank 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 127. They have relinquished 17 HR's and they allow 5.66 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Sacramento pitching staff have relinquished 73 runs this year while having an ERA of 5.12 (66 earned runs given up).

With 12 save situations, the Athletics have 6 holds and 3 blown saves. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 6 save chances and they have recorded 3 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 12 times in high leverage situations in addition to 14 occasions with base runners. Sacramento relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.0% out of their 20 inherited base runners. They rank 22nd in the league holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 43 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year.

Out of their 1,044 innings on the diamond, the Athletics have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 65.2% (29th in MLB). The Sacramento Athletics have turned 8 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in the majors). The Athletics have accrued 91 assists, 8 errors and have earned 348 putouts for the year.

Thus far in his career, Sears has given up 415 base hits while he has totaled 358 punch outs in 436 innings pitched. Sears (23-31 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.33 ERA while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 210 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.243 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and he has gone up against 1,832 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+150)

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