New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Minnesota (+150)

The New York Mets (11-5) are headed to Target Field on Wednesday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (5-12). The line on this matchup has the Mets at -182 while the Twins are sitting at +150. The total is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Griffin Canning and David Festa.

The Mets have compiled 33 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 13 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .367 and have struck out 121 times, while being walked on 59 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which has them at 16th in the league. They have amassed 62 runs batted in and 112 base knocks this year, while their batting average is at .214. They have earned 66 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .300.

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The Mets hold a team ERA of 2.22 on the year (1st in the league), and their staff has struck out 151 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 7 home runs in addition to 42 runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 57 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 2.88 as a team so far this year. New York has allowed 108 base knocks (6.8 per 9 innings) as well as 35 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16.

Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 16 times and also have had 19 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 14 holds over the course of the season (5th in the league). The Mets relievers have a save rate of 100.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 19 save situations. They have tallied 5 saves on the campaign and converted all of their opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 26 runners for the season with 19.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 50 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Minnesota Twins have 426 putouts on the year, as well as 140 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them sitting 7th in baseball, and have a total of 14 double plays. The Mets have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,278 innings, ranking them 17th in MLB.

Canning (26-35 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.70 and he has gone up against 2,239 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 509 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 191 walks. His earned run average is 4.77 (277 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.338. Canning has taken the hill for 523 innings and is sitting with 496 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Minnesota has accounted for 12 long balls on the year to go along with 54 RBIs. They have recorded 29 doubles, while getting a free base 44 times as well as racking up 56 runs. The Minnesota Twins have earned a team on-base percentage of .274 as well as a team batting average of .203 for the season. The Twins hold a slugging percentage of .327 and they average 3.29 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 139 instances (11th in baseball) and have earned 113 hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.211 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.81 as a squad for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (144 strikeouts against 45 walks). They come in at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 133. They have allowed 18 homers and they allow 4.47 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 73 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (63 earned runs conceded).

With 15 save situations, the Twins have earned 11 holds and 3 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the contest in 3 save opportunities and they have come away with no saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 13 times in high leverage situations and also on 14 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 21 inherited base runners. They are ranked 30th in baseball holding a save percentage of 0.0%, and they have dispatched 59 relievers onto the field this season.

In their 1,323 innings on the field, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 9 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .975 (26th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 113 assists, 14 errors and have accumulated 441 putouts on the campaign.

Festa (2-6 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.61 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.38 and he has faced 296 batters thus far in his career. He has given up 35 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.303 and having a FIP of 4.5. So far in his MLB career, Festa has surrendered 65 hits and he has 81 strikeouts in 68 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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