New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+150) Miami (-182)

The Miami Marlins (3-1) will play the New York Mets (1-2) at loanDepot park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has New York at +150 while Miami is at -182. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Sandy Alcantara.

New York has a slugging rate of .216 and have struck out 27 times, while drawing a walk on 13 occasions. They have compiled 5 runs batted in and 12 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is sitting at .136. The Mets have accumulated 4 doubles as a team and have hit 1 baseball out of the park. They are sitting with 5 runs while holding a team OBP of .260. As a squad, the New York Mets are recording 1.7 runs per outing, which ranks them 30th in the league.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 1.80 for the year (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 23 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 1 home run and also 6 runs in total (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 13 hitters and their FIP sits at 2.99 as a team so far this year. New York has conceded 15 hits (5.4 per 9 innings) and 5 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.77 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.12.

The Mets have sent 8 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 7 base runners for the year and none of those players crossed the plate. They have compiled 1 save on the campaign. The Mets bullpen have recorded a save rate of 100.0% and has entered the game in 4 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 3 holds on the campaign (11th in the league). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 4 times in addition to having 4 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have turned 76.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 225 innings, which has them ranked 7th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 75 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 29 assists and 1 error. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .990 which is 16th in pro baseball, and have a total of 4 double plays.

Senga (13-7 career mark) has a FIP of 2.95 while he has faced 714 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 128 hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 78 free passes. His ERA is 3.00 (57 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.203. Senga has taken the hill for 171 frames and has earned 211 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Miami has a total of 2 home runs over the course of the season as well as 14 RBIs. They have hit 8 two-baggers, while taking a walk 15 times as well as putting up 16 runs. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .250 this season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .368 and they earn 4.00 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have been rung up on 32 occasions (10th in the league) and have recorded 34 base knocks.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.282 in addition to having a FIP of 3.86 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (36 strikeouts vs 25 free passes). They are sitting at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 25. They have conceded 3 homers and they relinquish 3.23 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 14 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 2.31 (10 earned runs yielded).

The Marlins have recorded 0 holds in addition to 0 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 0 save opportunities. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 10 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with base runners. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 16.7% out of 6 inherited base runners. They are ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 0.0%, and they have sent 14 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

In 351 innings played, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 73.8% (14th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 2 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .964 (28th in MLB). The Marlins have accrued 44 assists, 6 errors and have amassed 117 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Alcantara has allowed 769 hits while totaling 789 strikeouts in 900 frames. Alcantara (41-55 career record) has a 3.32 earned run average and has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 332 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and he has faced 3,680 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-182)

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