New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 3/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Miami (+120)

loanDepot park is the location where the Miami Marlins (62-100 last season) will try to beat the New York Mets (89-73 last year) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at -144 and Miami is priced at +120. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Cal Quantrill.

The Mets tallied 279 doubles as a squad and smacked 207 baseballs out of the park. New York owned a slugging percentage of .415 and were rung up 1,382 times, while being walked on 514 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets notched 4.7 runs per game, which had them at 7th in the league. They amassed 735 runs batted in as well as 1,357 base knocks for the prior year, while their batting average was at .246. They notched a total of 768 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .319.

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The Mets had a team ERA of 3.96 last season (15th in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,455 batters. Mets pitchers allowed 165 home runs in addition to 697 total runs (15th in the league). They walked 586 players from the other team and their FIP finished at 4.05 as a squad in the prior season. New York allowed 1,232 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 634 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.48 and the pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.26.

Mets bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on 159 times in addition to having 173 contests in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers tallied 97 holds over the course of last season (8th in baseball). The Mets relievers earned a save percentage of 60.9% and stepped onto the mound in 163 save situations. They compiled 39 saves for the previous season and did not convert 25 of 64 chances to get a save. The relievers inherited 214 base runners for the previous season with 34.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Mets dispatched 516 relief pitchers to the hill last season.

The Mets converted 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,981 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 9th in MLB. The New York Mets notched a total of 4,327 putouts over the course of last season, in addition to 1,408 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .984 which was 25th in the majors, and accumulated 127 double plays.

Peterson has thrown 454 innings and has racked up 464 K's so far in his career. Peterson (28-24 career record) holds a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 1,948 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.08 (206 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.374. He has conceded 427 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 197 free passes.

The Miami Marlins had a team on-base percentage of .300 as well as a team batting average of .244 in the previous season. They were rung up on 1,410 occasions (13th in baseball) and had a total of 1,347 base knocks. Miami hit 150 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 611 RBIs. The Marlins had a slugging percentage of .378 and they earned 3.93 runs per game (27th in baseball). They hit 243 doubles, while taking a walk 403 times and scoring 637 runs.

The Marlins finished with a team WHIP of 1.383 and had a FIP of 4.44 as a team during the previous year. They had a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,317 strikeouts against 556 walks). They were ranked 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,431. They allowed 195 home runs and they surrender 5.27 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff allowed 841 runs in the previous season while having an ERA of 4.73 (755 earned runs relinquished).

Miami bullpen pitchers held an inherited score rate of 37.3% out of their 252 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers came in 186 times in high leverage situations and on 179 occasions with base runners. Ending the season with 144 save situations, the Marlins accumulated 82 holds and also 27 blown saves. They were ranked 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 55.0%, and they dispatched 556 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year. Miami called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 60 save opportunities and they earned 33 saves.

The Miami Marlins turned 123 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in the majors). The Marlins accrued 1,432 assists, 117 errors and earned 4,312 putouts in the previous season. In their 12,936 innings on the field, the Marlins held a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (28th in pro baseball).

Quantrill (43-34 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.07 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and he has gone up against 3,064 batters thus far in his career. He has given up 325 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.314 and a FIP of 4.0. So far in his pro baseball career, Quantrill has surrendered 711 hits while he has earned 537 strikeouts in 719 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+120)

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