Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 4/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Cleveland (-150)

The Cleveland Guardians (14-10) will go up against the Minnesota Twins (9-16) at Progressive Field on Monday. The odds on this game have the Twins at +125 while the Guardians are sitting at -150. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Bailey Ober and Tanner Bibee.

Minnesota has a slugging rate of .347 and have been rung up 207 times, while drawing a walk on 72 occasions. They have accumulated 80 RBI's in addition to 176 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .216. The Twins have earned 43 doubles as a team and have smacked 19 balls out of the park. They have tallied 85 runs and have an on-base percentage of .293. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 3.4 runs per contest, which is 26th in the league.

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The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.89 on the year (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 211 hitters. Twins pitchers have yielded 27 home runs in addition to 103 total runs (11th in MLB). They have walked 69 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a unit on the campaign. Minnesota has relinquished 202 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 93 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26.

Twins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 20 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 21 holds this season (5th in the league). The Twins relievers have a save percentage of 37.5% and stepped onto the hill in 30 save situations. They have earned 3 saves for the year and have not converted 5 out of their 8 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 32 base runners over the course of the season with 40.6% of them ended up scoring. The Twins have sent 86 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 645 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 168 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which is 25th in the majors, and have accumulated 14 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,935 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in the majors.

Ober has taken the hill for 496 innings and has earned 507 punch outs during his MLB career. Ober (27-22 career record) holds a FIP of 3.77 and he has faced 2,002 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.83 (211 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.086. He has conceded 430 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 109 free passes.

Cleveland has accumulated 28 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 90 runs batted in. They have recorded 30 two-baggers, while getting a free base 78 times and racking up 96 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled an on-base percentage of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .235 on the campaign. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .386 and they tally 4.00 runs per game (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 188 instances (25th in the league) and have tallied 183 base hits.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.376 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.15 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (212 strikeouts against 90 walks). They come in at 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 199. They have given up 29 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 101 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.94 (92 earned runs conceded).

Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 13.3% out of 30 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 21 times in high leverage situations and on 22 occasions with base runners. With 37 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 26 holds and also 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 84 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 11 save opportunities and they have tallied 8 saves.

Out of their 1,890 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 24 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (20th in the majors). The Guardians have accrued 184 assists, 14 errors and have earned 630 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Bibee has given up 296 base knocks while he has tallied 348 strikeouts in 341 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 129 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.38 and he has gone up against 1,406 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Bibee (24-14 career mark) is the owner of a 3.40 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

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