Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 3/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-150) Chicago (+125)

Rate Field is the location where the Chicago White Sox (41-121 last season) will take on the Minnesota Twins (82-80 last year) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Twins at -150 and the White Sox are at +125. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chris Paddack and Martin Perez.

The Twins recorded 309 doubles as a unit and hit 183 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota had a slugging percentage of .411 and struck out 1,306 times, while taking a walk on 473 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins put up 4.6 runs/g, which put them at 11th in the league. They had 702 runs batted in in addition to 1,352 base knocks over the course of the prior season, and their batting average was at .246. They accounted for 742 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .315.

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They had a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.23. Twins pitchers surrendered 190 home runs in addition to 735 runs in total (19th in the league). Minnesota conceded 1,333 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 682 earned runs. The Twins finished with a team earned run average of 4.26 over the course of last season (21st in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,500 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 433 players from the other team and their FIP was 3.84 as a team last season.

Twins relief pitchers entered the game with players on base 138 times and also had 203 contests in high leverage situations. The relievers accumulated 88 holds in the prior season (10th in MLB). The Twins relievers earned a save percentage of 69.4% and stepped onto the hill in 152 save situations. They recorded 43 saves over the course of last year and did not convert 19 of their 62 save chances. The bullpen inherited 203 runners in the previous season with 41.4% of those players earned a run for their team. The Twins dispatched 535 relievers to the mound for the previous season.

The Twins converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 12,963 innings on the field, which ranked them 19th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins accumulated 4,321 putouts during the previous year, in addition to 1,230 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate was at .988 which was 3rd in the majors, and they turned 75 double plays.

Paddack has taken the hill for 423 innings and has racked up 417 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.38 (206 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.191. He has conceded 415 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 89 walks. Paddack (27-24 career record) has a FIP of 4.32 and he has faced 1,771 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Chicago White Sox had a team on-base percentage of .278 and a team batting average of .221 in the prior season. They struck out on 1,403 occasions (14th in baseball) and earned 1,187 hits. Chicago recorded 133 long balls over the course of last season and 485 runs batted in. The White Sox had a team SLG% of .340 and they were earning 3.13 runs per contest (30th in baseball). They recorded 226 two-baggers, while getting a free base 395 times as well as notching 507 runs.

The White Sox held a team WHIP of 1.437 and had a FIP of 4.56 as a squad for the prior year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,366 strikeouts against 643 walks). They finished at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,397. They surrendered 201 home runs and they yielded 5.15 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff conceded 813 runs in the prior season while holding a team ERA of 4.68 (738 earned runs surrendered).

Chicago called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 58 save chances and they earned 21 saves. They were ranked 30th in baseball with a save rate of 36.2%, and they sent 536 relief pitchers onto the diamond last season. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 174 occasions with runners on. Chicago bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 33.8% of 272 inherited base runners. Wrapping up the year with 125 save situations, the White Sox accumulated 64 holds and 37 blown saves.

In their 12,780 innings on the diamond, the White Sox held a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (25th in MLB). The Chicago White Sox turned 115 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The White Sox racked up 1,276 assists, 90 errors and accounted for 4,260 putouts in the prior season.

During his career, Perez has allowed 1,710 base hits while tallying 1,109 strikeouts in 1,575 innings. He has conceded a total of 778 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.446 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.95 and he has gone up against 6,842 batters during his MLB career. Perez (90-87 career mark) holds a 4.45 ERA while allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+125)

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