Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+120) New York (-144)

The Milwaukee Brewers (93-69 last year) are traveling to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the New York Yankees (94-68 last season). The moneyline on this game has Milwaukee at +120 and New York is sitting at -144. The total is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Aaron Civale and Marcus Stroman.

Milwaukee had a slugging percentage of .403 and were called out on strikes 1,459 times, while drawing a walk on 597 occasions. They accounted for 742 RBI's and 1,359 base knocks during the previous year, and their batting average sat at .248. The Brewers accumulated 249 doubles as a team and knocked 177 balls out of the park. They notched a total of 777 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers recorded 4.8 runs per game, which had them sitting at 6th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.78 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Brewers pitchers conceded 196 long balls in addition to 641 total runs (4th in baseball). Milwaukee yielded 1,289 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 586 earned runs. The Brewers held a team ERA of 3.65 during the previous year (5th in baseball), and their staff rung up 1,373 batters. Their pitching staff walked 494 opposing batters and their FIP came in at 4.19 as a team in the prior season.

Brewers pitchers went to the mound with runners on 146 times and also had 195 contests in high leverage situations. The bullpen had a total of 84 holds last season (17th in the league). The Brewers bullpen recorded a save rate of 73.6% and stepped onto the hill in 156 save situations. They had 53 saves over the course of the prior season and blew 19 of their 72 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers inherited 212 runners in the previous season with 28.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers had dispatched 519 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of last year.

The Milwaukee Brewers notched a total of 4,338 putouts in the previous season, as well as 1,348 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .985 which ranked 19th in baseball, and had a total of 113 double plays. The Brewers turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,014 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting 3rd in baseball.

Civale has taken the hill for 636 innings and is sitting with 577 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Civale (39-35 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.97 and he has faced 2,637 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.03 (285 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.201. He has surrendered 594 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 170 free passes.

The Yankees had a SLG% of .429 and they averaged 5.03 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They hit 243 doubles, while taking a walk 672 times and recording 815 runs. New York accumulated 237 home runs over the course of last season to go along with 782 RBIs. They were rung up on 1,326 instances (20th in the league) and recorded 1,352 base knocks. The New York Yankees compiled a team on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a batting average of .248 during the previous year.

The Yankees had a team WHIP of 1.243 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a staff over the course of last season. They had a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,457 strikeouts against 533 free passes). They had a ranking of 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,272. They gave up 181 homers and they conceded 4.14 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The New York pitching staff allowed 668 runs in the previous season while holding an ERA of 3.74 (604 earned runs relinquished).

New York relievers had an inherited score rate of 35.2% out of 253 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers came in 150 times in high leverage situations and also on 173 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 151 save situations, the Yankees earned 83 holds and 21 blown saves. They were ranked 7th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they dispatched 521 relief pitchers to the mound last year. New York called on relievers to enter the game in 66 save chances and they tallied 45 saves.

The New York Yankees had 112 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (24th in the majors). The Yankees racked up 1,320 assists, 93 errors and a tally of 4,358 putouts in the prior season. Out of their 13,074 innings played, the Yankees had a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (13th in pro baseball).

Stroman (87-85 record in his career) has a 3.72 earned run average and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.76 and he has faced 6,098 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 603 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.276 and having a FIP of 3.7. In his career, Stroman has surrendered 1,424 base hits while he has earned 1,204 K's in 1,458 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+120)

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