Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 3/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+220) New York (-275)

The New York Yankees (94-68 last season) are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69 last year) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at +220 while the Yankees are at -275. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Nestor Cortes and Max Fried.

As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers knocked in 4.8 runs per game, which had them at 6th in MLB. They had 777 runs while holding a team OBP of .326. The Brewers accumulated 249 doubles as a squad and smacked 177 balls out of the park. They accumulated 742 runs batted in and 1,359 hits last year, and their batting average finished at .248. Milwaukee had a slugging rate of .403 and struck out 1,459 times, while drawing a walk on 597 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.78 and their pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.23. Brewers pitchers conceded 196 home runs in addition to 641 total runs (4th in baseball). Milwaukee conceded 1,289 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 586 earned runs. The Brewers compiled a team earned run average of 3.65 over the course of last year (5th in MLB), and they struck out 1,373 batters. Their pitching staff walked 494 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.19 as a unit over the course of last year.

The Brewers dispatched 519 relievers to the hill in the prior season. The relief pitchers inherited 212 runners over the course of the prior season with 28.3% of those players crossed home plate. They tallied 53 saves in the previous season and blew 19 of 72 save chances. The Brewers relief pitchers earned a save rate of 73.6% and stepped onto the mound in 156 save situations. The relievers accumulated 84 holds in the prior season (17th in the league). Brewers relief pitchers came into the game with players on base 146 times and also had 195 contests in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers had a tally of 4,338 putouts over the course of last season, as well as 1,348 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .985 which was 19th in professional baseball, and had a total of 113 double plays. The Brewers converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,014 innings on the diamond, which had them ranked 3rd in professional baseball.

Cortes Jr has pitched in 568 frames and has totaled 575 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Cortes Jr (33-21 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has gone up against 2,333 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.80 (240 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.164. He has given up 501 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 160 free passes.

The Yankees held a team slugging percentage of .429 and they averaged 5.03 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They hit 243 two-baggers, while walking 672 times and scoring 815 runs. New York accumulated 237 HRs over the course of the prior season to go along with 782 RBIs. They were rung up on 1,326 occasions (20th in baseball) and tallied 1,352 base hits. The New York Yankees held an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .248 during the previous year.

The New York pitching staff relinquished 668 runs over the course of last season while having a team ERA of 3.74 (604 earned runs surrendered). They surrendered 181 homers and they gave up 4.14 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Yankees had a team WHIP of 1.243 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a team in the prior season. Their K/BB ratio was 9.00 (1,457 strikeouts vs 533 walks). They ranked 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,272.

New York called on relievers to step onto the hill in 66 save opportunities and they came away with 45 saves. They were ranked 7th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they dispatched 521 relievers onto the diamond last year. Their bullpen pitchers came in 150 times in high leverage situations and on 173 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 35.2% out of 253 inherited base runners. With 151 save situations, the Yankees amassed 83 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

The New York Yankees turned 112 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Yankees recorded 1,320 assists, 93 errors and had 4,358 putouts over the course of last season. In their 13,074 innings on the diamond, the Yankees had a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (13th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Fried has conceded 783 base knocks while he has tallied 863 strikeouts in 884 frames. He has given up 302 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.51 and he has faced 3,614 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Fried (73-36 career record) is the owner of a 3.07 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+220)

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