Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+162) New York (-196)

The Milwaukee Brewers (93-69 last year) are on their way to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they will try to defeat the New York Yankees (94-68 last season). The line on this matchup has the Brewers at +162 and the Yankees are priced at -196. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Freddy Peralta and Carlos Rodon.

The Brewers accounted for 249 two-baggers as a team and knocked 177 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee had a slugging percentage of .403 and were called out on strikes 1,459 times, while taking a walk on 597 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers recorded 4.8 runs per contest, which was 6th in baseball. They accrued 742 runs batted in in addition to 1,359 hits over the course of last year, and their team batting average was .248. They were sitting with 777 runs while holding a team OBP of .326.

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The Brewers held a team ERA of 3.65 for the prior year (5th in the league), and they struck out 1,373 hitters. Brewers pitchers surrendered 196 home runs and 641 runs (4th in baseball). They walked 494 hitters and their FIP was 4.19 as a squad over the course of the prior season. Milwaukee allowed 1,289 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 586 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.78 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Brewers sent 519 relief pitchers to the mound in the prior season. The bullpen inherited 212 runners last season and 28.3% of them earned a run for their team. They accumulated 53 saves for the prior year and missed out on 19 of 72 chances to get a save. The Brewers bullpen compiled a save rate of 73.6% and entered the game in 156 save situations. The bullpen accumulated 84 holds for the prior year (17th in the league). Brewers bullpen pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 146 times and also had 195 games in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers earned a total of 4,338 putouts in the previous season, in addition to 1,348 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding rate was previously at .985 which had them sitting 19th in baseball, and they turned 113 double plays. The Brewers transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,014 innings on the field, which had them sitting 3rd in the majors.

Peralta (53-36 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.74 while going up against 3,130 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 570 base hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 294 free passes. His earned run average is 3.80 (318 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.146. Peralta has taken the hill for 754 innings and is sitting with 949 punch outs during his career.

New York had 237 long balls over the course of last year in addition to 782 runs batted in. They notched 243 doubles, while getting a free base 672 times and notching 815 runs. The New York Yankees tallied an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a team batting average of .248 for the prior year. The Yankees had a team slugging percentage of .429 and they were earning 5.03 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They were called out on strikes on 1,326 occasions (20th in the league) and had a total of 1,352 base hits.

The Yankees had a team WHIP of 1.243 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a staff over the course of last season. They finished at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,272. The New York pitching staff conceded 668 runs in the previous season while having an ERA of 3.74 (604 earned runs relinquished). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,457 strikeouts against 533 walks). They allowed 181 homers and they yielded 4.14 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league).

Ending the season with 151 save situations, the Yankees compiled 83 holds and 21 blown saves. New York had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 66 save chances and they earned 45 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 150 times in high leverage situations and also on 173 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 253 inherited base runners. They were ranked 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.2%, and they sent 521 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season.

In their 13,074 innings on the diamond, the Yankees had a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in baseball). The New York Yankees turned 112 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB). The Yankees accrued 1,320 assists, 93 errors and had 4,358 putouts for the prior year.

Rodon (75-63 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.85 earned run average and has given up 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and he has faced 4,589 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 465 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Rodon has given up 953 base hits and he has 1,206 punch outs in 1,086 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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