Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+172) Philadelphia (-210)

The Miami Marlins (8-9) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (10-8). The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at +172 while the Phillies are priced at -210. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers will be Cal Quantrill and Taijuan Walker.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in the league. They have accumulated 71 runs and hold an OBP of .324. The Marlins have hit 30 two-baggers as a team and have hit 12 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 67 RBI's and 145 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .251. Miami is slugging .372 and have been called out on strikes 159 times, while drawing a walk on 59 occasions.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.53 for the season (26th in the league), and they have struck out 124 batters. Marlins pitchers have given up 21 home runs in addition to 87 runs in total (24th in baseball). They have walked 74 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.72 as a squad for the season. Miami has conceded 144 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 78 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.68 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 22 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 13 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 17 save situations. They have recorded 2 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 2 out of their 4 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 29 base runners on the campaign with 41.4% of them crossed the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 58 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting with 465 putouts this season, as well as 168 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them ranked 22nd in baseball, and they have turned 13 double plays. The Marlins have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,395 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball.

Quantrill has taken the mound for 733 innings and has tallied 545 K's so far in his career. Quantrill (44-35 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.04 and he has gone up against 3,125 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.10 (334 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.323. He has surrendered 730 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 240 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .239 so far this season. They have been rung up on 152 occasions (17th in the league) and have accounted for 143 hits. Philadelphia has compiled 18 HRs so far this season to go along with 69 runs batted in. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .382 and they have an average of 4.11 runs per outing (17th in baseball). They have put up 26 doubles, while getting a free base 79 times and earning 74 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 78 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.16 (74 earned runs conceded). They have given up 21 home runs and they surrender 4.39 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.331 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.71 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.80 (175 strikeouts against 57 walks). They come in at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 156.

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 10 save opportunities and they have earned 5 saves. They are ranked 25th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 59 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations and on 11 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 18 inherited base runners. With 24 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 13 holds and 5 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 15 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .992 (2nd in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 150 assists, 5 errors and have amassed 480 putouts for the year. In 1,440 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (25th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Walker has conceded 1,093 base knocks while tallying 1,016 K's in 1,169 innings. He has conceded a total of 542 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.274 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.56 and he has faced 4,951 hitters during his pro baseball career. Walker (73-64 career win-loss record) has a 4.17 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+172)

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