Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) New York (-144)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (6-3) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (5-4) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +120 while New York opens at -144. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Connor Gillispie and Clay Holmes.

The Marlins have recorded 15 doubles as a squad and have hit 7 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .362 and have been called out on strikes 86 times, while drawing a walk on 29 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.7 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They have accounted for 30 RBI's and 73 hits for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .238. They have accounted for 33 runs scored and have an OBP of .308.

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The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.81 this season (11th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 75 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 11 home runs and also 42 runs in total (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 37 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.49 as a squad on the season. Miami has yielded 73 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 36 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.03 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 12 runners so far this year with 16.7% of them crossed home plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 11 times as well as having 15 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 32 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have recorded 6 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB). They have recorded 1 save this season and have blown 1 of 2 chances to save the game.

The Marlins have converted 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 765 innings on the field, which has them sitting 15th in MLB. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 255 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 95 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .980 which puts them in 25th in baseball, and they have turned 7 double plays.

Gillispie (0-1 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 2.96 while facing 75 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 12 hits (6.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 9 walks. His ERA is 3.00 (6 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.167. Gillispie has thrown 18 frames and has racked up 18 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets are sitting with an on-base percentage of .282 and a batting average of .197 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 67 occasions (27th in the league) and have earned a total of 56 hits. New York has compiled 8 HRs this season to go along with 32 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .356 and they average 3.67 runs per outing (22nd in baseball). They have hit 17 two-baggers, while walking 30 times as well as putting up 33 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.150 in addition to having a FIP of 3.10 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.50 (84 strikeouts vs 34 walks). They are sitting at 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 58. They have given up 4 long balls and they allow 2.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 22 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 1.91 (17 earned runs relinquished).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 10.0% of 20 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 16 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with runners on base. With 10 save situations, the Mets have accrued 7 holds and also 0 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 100.0%, and they have sent 28 relievers onto the diamond on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 3 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves.

In 720 innings on the field, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (13th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 7 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 88 assists, 4 errors and have accounted for 240 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Holmes has surrendered 297 hits and he has 370 punch outs in 346 innings. Holmes (24-23 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.69 earned run average while surrendering 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 142 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.317 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.33 and he has gone up against 1,506 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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