Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, April 7, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-275) New York (+220)

The New York Mets (3-3) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (4-3) at Citi Field on Monday. The line on this contest has Miami at -275 and New York is at +220. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Connor Gillispie and Kodai Senga.

The Marlins have earned 12 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 5 balls out of the park. Miami is slugging .364 and have been called out on strikes 64 times, while being walked on 24 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 13th in the league. They have accrued 26 runs batted in in addition to 59 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .244. They have earned 29 runs while holding a team OBP of .317.

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The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.44 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 55 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 9 long balls and also 32 total runs (21st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 32 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.54 as a team so far this season. Miami has conceded 50 base hits (6.6 per 9 innings) as well as 26 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.72 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 7 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 8 base runners on the year and 12.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 8 times as well as having 15 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 25 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have tallied 5 holds over the course of the season (13th in the league). They have compiled 1 save on the season and have missed out on 1 of 2 chances to save the game.

The Marlins have turned 75.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 612 innings on the field, ranking them 7th in pro baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 204 putouts for the season, as well as 83 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .976 which has them ranked 27th in MLB, and have accumulated 6 double plays.

Gillispie (0-1 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.96 and he has gone up against 75 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 12 hits (6.0 hits per nine innings) with 9 free passes. His ERA is 3.00 (6 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.167. Gillispie has taken the mound for 18 innings and has tallied 18 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .350 and they score 3.83 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have put up 11 doubles, while taking a walk 20 times as well as earning 23 runs. New York has a total of 7 home runs this season as well as 22 runs batted in. They have struck out on 46 instances (24th in the league) and have notched a total of 37 hits. The New York Mets have compiled a team OBP of .275 in addition to a batting average of .188 on the campaign.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.170 and have a FIP of 3.12 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 40. The New York pitching staff have conceded 19 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 2.38 (14 earned runs given up). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (55 strikeouts vs 22 bases on balls). They have surrendered 4 HR's and they give up 3.23 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 8.3% of 12 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 9 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 4 holds and also 0 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in the league holding a save rate of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 18 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 2 save opportunities and they have come away with 2 saves.

In 477 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (15th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 5 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in baseball). The Mets have racked up 64 assists, 4 errors and have a total of 159 putouts this season.

Senga (13-8 career record) has a 3.01 ERA and has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 734 batters so far in his career. He has surrendered 59 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.192 and having a FIP of 3.0. So far in his pro baseball career, Senga has given up 131 hits and he has 219 strikeouts in 176 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+220)

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