Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-160) Atlanta (+132)

The Miami Marlins (4-3) are en route to Truist Park on Sunday where they will compete against the Atlanta Braves (0-7). The moneyline on this matchup has the Marlins at -160 while the Braves are opening at +132. The over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Grant Holmes.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.1 runs per outing, which is 13th in baseball. They have earned 29 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. The Marlins have tallied 12 two-baggers as a team and have hit 5 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 26 runs batted in and 59 hits this year, while their average at the plate is at .244. Miami has a slugging rate of .364 and have struck out 64 times, while taking a walk on 24 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.44 on the season (12th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 55 batters. Marlins pitchers have given up 9 home runs and also 32 total runs (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 32 batters and their FIP sits at 4.54 as a team so far this year. Miami has given up 50 hits (6.6 per 9 innings) and also 26 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.72 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21.

The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 7 save situations. The relievers have inherited 8 base runners so far this season and 12.5% of those runners crossed home plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 8 times in addition to having 15 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 25 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have a total of 5 holds so far this season (13th in the league). They have compiled 1 save this season and have not converted 1 of 2 save chances.

The Marlins have turned 75.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 612 innings, which has them sitting 7th in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 204 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 83 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .976 which has them sitting 27th in baseball, and have a total of 6 double plays.

Alcantara has thrown 909 innings and is sitting with 800 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (42-55 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.28 while he has gone up against 3,718 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.33 (336 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.156. He has surrendered 774 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 277 walks.

Atlanta has tallied 4 home runs this season to go along with 12 RBIs. They have hit 6 doubles, while taking a walk 29 times and scoring 14 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an OBP of .251 and a batting average of .151 on the campaign. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .234 and they earn 2.00 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have struck out on 68 occasions (4th in the league) and have recorded 33 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 32 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.13 (32 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 9 HR's and they surrender 5.13 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.390 in addition to having a FIP of 4.54 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (50 strikeouts against 22 walks). They come in at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 56.

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 2 save opportunities and they have converted 0 saves. They are currently ranked 27th in baseball with a save rate of 0.0%, and they have dispatched 23 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 7 times in high leverage situations in addition to 6 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 66.7% of 9 inherited base runners. With 6 save situations, the Braves have compiled 4 holds and 2 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 4 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (10th in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 60 assists, 2 errors and have a total of 169 putouts this season. In their 507 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (20th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Holmes has allowed 70 hits while accumulating 75 punch outs in 73 innings. Holmes (2-2 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.82 ERA and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 31 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.95 and he has gone up against 304 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+132)

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