Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-275) Philadelphia (+220)

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-1) will try to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers (8-0) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Los Angeles at -275 and Philadelphia is priced at +220. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Roki Sasaki and Aaron Nola.

Los Angeles has a slugging % of .490 and have been called out on strikes 65 times, while drawing a walk on 31 occasions. They have recorded 43 RBI's as well as 59 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .233. The Dodgers have tallied 11 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 18 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 45 runs scored and hold an OBP of .324. As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.6 runs per game, which ranks them 6th in the league.

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The Dodgers hold a team ERA of 1.97 over the course of the season (2nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 91 batters. Dodgers pitchers have conceded 4 long balls in addition to 23 runs in total (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 36 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 2.57 as a squad for the year. Los Angeles has relinquished 51 hits (6.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 16 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.53 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Dodgers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 16 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 2 base runners on the campaign with 0.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Dodgers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 2 times as well as having 8 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have dispatched 35 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 10 holds so far this year (2nd in the league). They have recorded 4 saves for the season and have blown 1 of 5 chances to get a save.

The Los Angeles Angels have amassed 219 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 61 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 3 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 657 innings, which has them sitting 18th in MLB.

Sasaki (0-0 career record) has earned a FIP of 6.33 and he has faced 26 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 4 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 9 walks. His earned run average is 6.43 (3 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 3.095. Sasaki has thrown 4 frames and is sitting with 5 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has compiled 8 home runs over the course of the season as well as 28 runs batted in. They have tallied 11 two-baggers, while walking 21 times as well as scoring 30 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an OBP of .377 as well as a team batting average of .299 this year. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .508 and they are recording 6.00 runs per outing (5th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 39 occasions (30th in MLB) and have earned a total of 53 base hits.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.089 and have a FIP of 3.27 as a unit for the season. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 36. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 16 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.20 (16 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 13.20 (66 strikeouts against 13 bases on balls). They have surrendered 8 long balls and they concede 3.20 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 0.0% out of 0 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 3 times in high leverage situations in addition to 1 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 4 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 3 holds and also 1 blown save. They are ranked 30th in baseball holding a save rate of 0.0%, and they have sent 17 relief pitchers onto the field on the season. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the game in 1 save opportunities and they have walked away with 0 saves.

In their 405 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (19th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 3 double plays and have a fielding percentage of 1.000 (2nd in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 38 assists, 0 errors and have earned 135 putouts so far this season.

During his MLB career, Nola has given up 1,429 base hits while accumulating 1,787 K's in 1,626 frames. Nola (104-80 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.72 earned run average while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 672 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.24 and he has gone up against 6,658 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+220)

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