Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, April 14, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+110) New York (-132)

The New York Yankees (7-5) will compete against the Kansas City Royals (7-6) at Yankee Stadium on Monday. The line on this contest has Kansas City at +110 while New York opens at -132. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Seth Lugo and Max Fried.

Kansas City has a slugging % of .324 and have been called out on strikes 94 times, while being walked on 33 occasions. They have recorded 45 runs batted in and 94 hits on the season, and their team batting average sits at .221. The Royals have recorded 24 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 6 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 45 runs and hold an OBP of .287. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are notching 3.5 runs/g, which ranks them 22nd in baseball.

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The Royals have an earned run average of 2.97 on the campaign (3rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 111 batters. Royals pitchers have conceded 11 home runs and 45 runs in total (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 44 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.55 as a unit on the campaign. Kansas City has allowed 95 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 39 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Royals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 10 times and also have had 17 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 8 holds this year (13th in MLB). The Royals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 71.4% and has entered the game in 15 save situations. They have earned 5 saves on the campaign and have blown 2 of 7 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 12 runners this season and 41.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Royals have dispatched 44 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Houston Astros have accumulated 355 putouts this year, as well as 132 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .990 which is 4th in baseball, and have accumulated 13 double plays. The Royals have converted 72.0% of balls in play into outs out of 1,065 innings, ranking them 13th in the majors.

Lugo (57-41 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 3,553 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 770 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 228 free passes. His ERA is 3.38 (324 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.156. Lugo has taken the mound for 863 innings and has earned 841 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The New York Yankees have compiled a team OBP of .346 as well as a team batting average of .265 on the campaign. They have struck out on 119 occasions (7th in MLB) and have tallied 112 hits. New York has 26 HRs this season and 78 RBIs. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .509 and they are scoring 6.83 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have 21 two-baggers, while taking a walk 44 times as well as putting up 82 runs.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 59 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.45 (53 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 14 dingers and they concede 4.96 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.232 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 10.40 (124 strikeouts vs 48 walks). They rank 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 84.

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 13.3% out of their 15 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 7 times in high leverage situations and on 13 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 11 save situations, the Yankees have earned 7 holds and 1 blown save. They rank 7th in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 40 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 4 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 6 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (12th in pro baseball). The Yankees have accrued 100 assists, 6 errors and have amassed 322 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 966 innings on the field, the Yankees hold a efficiency on defense of 72.0% (12th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Fried has conceded 801 base knocks while he has earned 884 K's in 901 innings. He has given up a total of 305 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.165 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.55 and he has gone up against 3,692 batters in his pro baseball career. Fried (75-36 record in his career) has earned a 3.05 earned run average and has surrendered 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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