Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 4/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (-210) Cleveland (+172)

The Cleveland Guardians (5-6) will go up against the Kansas City Royals (6-6) at Progressive Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Kansas City at -210 while Cleveland is priced at +172. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Kris Bubic and Tanner Bibee.

Kansas City has a slugging rate of .328 and have been called out on strikes 88 times, while drawing a walk on 31 occasions. They have tallied 42 runs batted in and 87 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate sits at .220. The Royals have compiled 23 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 6 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 42 runs and have an OBP of .287. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are compiling 3.5 runs per game, which is 21st in the league.

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The Royals have an ERA of 3.05 so far this year (3rd in baseball), and they have struck out 103 hitters. Royals pitchers have conceded 10 home runs and also 43 total runs (6th in baseball). They have walked 39 hitters and their FIP is 3.48 as a unit for the season. Kansas City has given up 90 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 37 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Royals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 9 times as well as having 14 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 7 holds on the season (16th in the league). The Royals relief pitchers have a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 13 save situations. They have earned 4 saves so far this year and have not converted 2 of 6 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 11 base runners for the season and 36.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Royals have sent 40 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Royals have transformed 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 984 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in the majors. The Houston Astros have accumulated 328 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 121 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding rate is at .991 which ranks 5th in professional baseball, and have earned 13 double plays.

Bubic (13-29 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.44 and he has faced 1,603 hitters in the majors. He has given up 381 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 154 free passes. His ERA is 4.51 (184 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.457. Bubic has taken the hill for 367 innings and has accounted for 344 K's so far in his career.

Cleveland has accumulated 14 home runs on the year as well as 37 RBIs. They have 11 doubles, while getting a free base 44 times and putting up 38 runs. The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .204 this year. The Guardians have a slugging percentage of .364 and they earn 3.45 runs per outing (25th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 94 occasions (20th in the league) and have recorded 70 base hits.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.468 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.71 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.80 (81 strikeouts against 42 bases on balls). They sit at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 96. They have given up 14 home runs and they relinquish 5.07 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 53 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (44 earned runs conceded).

Cleveland has had relievers enter the game in 4 save chances and they have walked away with 2 saves. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 41 relievers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 13 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.2% of 18 inherited base runners. With 15 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 11 holds and 2 blown saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 10 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .971 (30th in pro baseball). The Guardians have racked up 84 assists, 11 errors and have earned a total of 282 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 846 innings on the field, the Guardians have a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (24th in the majors).

Bibee (23-13 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.36 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 1,338 hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 121 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.153 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. Thus far in his career, Bibee has allowed 282 base hits while totaling 334 K's in 324 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+172)

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