Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 4/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, April 7, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+110) Seattle (-130)

The Seattle Mariners (3-4) will go up against the Houston Astros (3-4) at T-Mobile Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Astros at +110 and the Mariners are opening at -130. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Hayden Wesneski and Logan Gilbert.

Houston has a slugging % of .270 and have been called out on strikes 66 times, while drawing a walk on 21 occasions. They have amassed 16 runs batted in in addition to 41 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average comes in at .191. The Astros have compiled 5 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 4 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 17 runs scored while having a team OBP of .274. As a team, the Houston Astros are compiling 2.4 runs per contest, which puts them at 28th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.00. Astros pitchers have yielded 6 home runs and 23 runs (8th in MLB). Houston has allowed 36 hits (5.1 per 9 innings) and 22 earned runs. The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.14 on the season (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 77 batters. They have walked 27 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.07 as a squad for the year.

Astros pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 3 times in addition to having 3 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 5 holds this season (12th in MLB). The Astros relievers have a save rate of 100.0% and stepped onto the hill in 8 save situations. They have compiled 3 saves over the course of the season and have blown 0 of their 3 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 4 runners this season and 25.0% of them ended up scoring. The Astros have sent 21 relievers to the hill this year.

The Astros have turned 76.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 567 innings, which has them ranked 5th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 189 putouts on the campaign, as well as 54 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 19th in MLB, and they have turned 4 double plays.

Wesneski (9-14 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.91 and he has faced 815 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 164 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 63 walks. His earned run average is 3.97 (86 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.164. Wesneski has thrown 195 innings and has accounted for 189 strikeouts during his career.

Seattle has accumulated 7 HRs over the course of the season and 17 runs batted in. They have 5 doubles, while taking a walk 29 times and earning 18 runs. The Seattle Mariners have compiled a team on-base percentage of .285 as well as a batting average of .172 on the season. The Mariners have a team slugging % of .309 and they score 2.57 runs per outing (26th in the league). They have been rung up on 66 occasions (9th in the league) and have notched a total of 35 base hits.

The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.270 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a unit for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (56 strikeouts vs 20 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 60. They have conceded 10 HR's and they allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have surrendered 29 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.00 (28 earned runs surrendered).

Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.9% of 7 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 6 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with base runners. With 6 save situations, the Mariners have earned 3 holds and also 0 blown saves. They sit at 8th in the league with a save rate of 100.0%, and they have sent 22 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Seattle has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 3 save opportunities and they have come away with 3 saves.

In 567 innings played, the Mariners have a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (16th in baseball). The Seattle Mariners have turned 5 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .992 (7th in MLB). The Mariners have recorded 73 assists, 2 errors and have amassed 189 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Gilbert has surrendered 606 base hits while totaling 729 punch outs in 716 frames. Gilbert (41-31 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.59 earned run average and has conceded 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 286 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.057 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.83 and he has faced 2,886 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+110)

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