Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+172) Minnesota (-210)

The Minnesota Twins (2-4) will go up against the Houston Astros (2-4) at Target Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Astros at +172 and the Twins are sitting at -210. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Spencer Arrighetti and Bailey Ober.

The Astros have accounted for 2 two-baggers as a team and have hit 2 baseballs out of the park. Houston has a slugging rate of .222 and have struck out 54 times, while being walked on 21 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 2.0 runs per outing, which puts them at 30th in the league. They have 11 RBI's and 32 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is at .178. They have a total of 12 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .270.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.33 for the season (10th in the league), and the staff has struck out 66 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 6 home runs and 21 runs in total (10th in MLB). They have walked 27 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.50 as a unit over the course of the season. Houston has allowed 31 base knocks (5.2 per 9 innings) and 20 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.07.

The Astros have dispatched 18 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 4 base runners on the year with 25.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 2 saves for the year and have blown 0 of their 2 chances to get a save. The Astros relievers have a save rate of 100.0% and has entered the game in 5 save situations. The relievers have 3 holds so far this season (19th in MLB). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 3 times in addition to having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 77.2% of balls in play into outs out of 486 innings, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. The Detroit Tigers have amassed 162 putouts on the year, as well as 44 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 16th in the majors, and they have turned 3 double plays.

Arrighetti (8-13 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.34 while he has faced 653 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 140 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 67 free passes. His earned run average is 4.41 (74 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.371. Arrighetti has thrown 151 frames and has totaled 176 K's so far in his career.

The Twins hold a team SLG% of .306 and they average 3.33 runs per contest (22nd in MLB). They have recorded 9 two-baggers, while walking 15 times and racking up 20 runs. Minnesota is sitting with 5 home runs so far this season as well as 20 RBIs. They have been rung up on 43 occasions (26th in the league) and have tallied 36 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have tallied an OBP of .252 and a batting average of .184 so far this season.

The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 32 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 5.40 (30 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 10 home runs and they yield 5.76 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.440 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.93 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (44 strikeouts against 19 walks). They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 53.

Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.5% out of 8 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 3 times in high leverage situations in addition to 5 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 3 save situations, the Twins have 3 holds and 0 blown saves. They rank 29th in MLB with a save rate of 0.0%, and they have sent 20 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 0 save opportunities.

In their 450 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (22nd in MLB). The Minnesota Twins have turned 3 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (21st in the majors). The Twins have accrued 34 assists, 3 errors and have amassed 150 putouts during this campaign.

Ober (25-22 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.90 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.64 and he has faced 1,911 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 205 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.086 and having a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Ober has conceded 409 base knocks and he has 487 punch outs in 473 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+172)

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