Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-144) Houston (+120)

The Houston Astros (13-11) will try to beat the Detroit Tigers (15-10) at Daikin Park on Monday. The line on this contest has Detroit at -144 and Houston is sitting at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jack Flaherty and Ronel Blanco.

The Tigers have compiled 31 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 25 balls out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .387 and have been called out on strikes 228 times, while taking a walk on 89 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which is 11th in baseball. They have 108 RBI's in addition to 206 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .246. They have racked up 112 runs while having a team OBP of .323.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.10. Tigers pitchers have given up 24 home runs and also 82 total runs (4th in the league). Detroit has relinquished 170 base hits (7.0 per 9 innings) as well as 72 earned runs. The Tigers have compiled a team earned run average of 2.94 over the course of the season (3rd in the league), and they have rung up 202 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 73 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.75 as a squad for the year.

Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 21 times in addition to having 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 6 holds so far this year (30th in MLB). The Tigers relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 80.0% and have entered the game in 18 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves on the year and have blown 2 out of their 10 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 30 base runners so far this season with 20.0% of those players crossed home plate. The Tigers have dispatched 69 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Tigers have converted 74.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,983 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in the majors. The Colorado Rockies have earned 661 putouts on the year, in addition to 215 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 13 double plays.

Flaherty has taken the ball for 856 frames and has racked up 976 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.61 (343 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.178. He has surrendered 708 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 301 walks. Flaherty (56-43 career mark) has a FIP of 3.55 while he has gone up against 3,550 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .349 and they score 3.83 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have tallied 28 two-baggers, while getting a free base 78 times as well as scoring 92 runs. Houston has accounted for 19 home runs on the campaign to go along with 85 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 197 instances (21st in the league) and have recorded 186 hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .310 as well as a batting average of .236 over the course of the season.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.078 in addition to having a FIP of 3.30 as a squad on the year. They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 161. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 81 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.26 (78 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.40 (225 strikeouts vs 71 bases on balls). They have conceded 21 home runs and they surrender 3.39 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

With 30 save situations, the Astros have tallied 19 holds and also 3 blown saves. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 11 save chances and they have converted 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 22 times in high leverage situations and on 19 occasions with runners on base. Houston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.8% of 26 inherited runners. They are ranked 8th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.7%, and they have sent 77 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Houston Astros have gotten 14 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in baseball). The Astros have recorded 187 assists, 10 errors and have accounted for 647 putouts so far this year. In 1,941 innings played, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 73.3% (5th in professional baseball).

Blanco (17-9 career mark) holds a 3.48 ERA and has conceded 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 and he has faced 1,034 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 96 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.220 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. In his MLB career, Blanco has surrendered 191 base hits while tallying 245 strikeouts in 248 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-144)

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