Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 3/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+102) Tampa Bay (-122)

The Tampa Bay Rays (80-82 last season) will take on the Colorado Rockies (61-101 last year) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Friday. The line on this contest has Colorado at +102 and Tampa Bay is priced at -122. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Kyle Freeland and Ryan Pepiot.

Colorado had a slugging rate of .400 and struck out 1,617 times, while taking a walk on 453 occasions. They compiled 655 RBI's and 1,319 hits in the previous season, and their average at the plate finished at .242. The Rockies accrued 277 two-baggers as a team and knocked 179 baseballs out of the stadium. They had a total of 682 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .304. As a team, the Colorado Rockies scored 4.2 runs per outing, which ranked them 19th in the league.

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The Rockies compiled a team earned run average of 5.47 during the previous year (30th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,118 hitters. Rockies pitchers surrendered 221 home runs and also 929 total runs (30th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 563 opposing hitters and their FIP was 4.94 as a team during the previous year. Colorado conceded 1,604 base knocks (10.1 per 9 innings) and 867 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.99 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.52.

Rockies pitchers stepped onto the hill with players on base 160 times in addition to having 163 games in high leverage situations. The relievers accumulated 60 holds last season (30th in MLB). The Rockies bullpen earned a save percentage of 56.9% and stepped onto the hill in 127 save situations. They compiled 37 saves last year and blew 28 of their 65 chances to get a save. The relievers inherited 249 runners over the course of the prior season and 33.7% of those players earned a run for their team. The Rockies dispatched 495 relief pitchers to the mound in the prior season.

The Colorado Rockies earned a total of 4,280 putouts over the course of the prior season, as well as 1,564 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .986 which had them ranked 9th in MLB, and accumulated 164 double plays. The Rockies turned 67.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,840 innings on the diamond, which ranked them 30th in the majors.

Freeland (60-73 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.41 while he has gone up against 4,757 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,201 base knocks (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 354 walks. His earned run average is 4.48 (546 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.417. Freeland has taken the hill for 1,097 innings and has totaled 820 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Rays had a SLG% of .366 and they tallied 3.73 runs per game (29th in baseball). They hit 245 doubles, while getting a free base 493 times as well as notching 604 runs. Tampa Bay tallied 147 home runs over the course of the prior season to go along with 564 runs batted in. They were rung up on 1,485 occasions (6th in the league) and totaled 1,241 base knocks. The Tampa Bay Rays tallied a team OBP of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .230 over the course of the prior season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff yielded 663 runs last year while having an ERA of 3.77 (604 earned runs relinquished). They surrendered 196 home runs and they conceded 4.14 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Rays had a team WHIP of 1.202 and had a FIP of 4.05 as a staff in the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 8.80 (1,406 strikeouts against 445 free passes). They had a ranking of 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,286.

Wrapping up the year with 187 save situations, the Rays had 112 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Tampa Bay had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 73 save chances and they came away with 51 saves. Their relievers took the field 205 times in high leverage situations and on 125 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relievers held an inherited score percentage of 23.5% out of their 183 inherited base runners. They ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 69.9%, and they sent 542 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season.

The Tampa Bay Rays had 108 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Rays had 1,265 assists, 90 errors and earned a total of 4,322 putouts last year. Out of their 12,966 innings on the diamond, the Rays had a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (6th in pro baseball).

Pepiot (13-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.29 ERA while allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.78 and he has gone up against 858 hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 76 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.129 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his MLB career, Pepiot has surrendered 155 hits and he has 222 strikeouts in 208 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado (+102)

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